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Austin Bay Blog » 2007» January

Austin Bay Blog

1/31/2007

The crisis of courage

Filed under: General — site admin @ 7:57 am

Hat tip rcp. From the Christian Science Monitor, Senator John Kyl:

At stake in the war on terror is nothing less than preserving Western civilization, as Solzhenitsyn sensed almost 30 years ago: “The fight, physical and spiritual for our planet, a fight of cosmic proportions, is not a vague matter of the future; it has already started.”

The fate of future generations depends on how we answer the enemy’s challenge today. To do that, we must clearly understand the nature of the threat we face – and we must marshal the courage and character necessary to prevail.

Read the entire essay.

Disarming search bombs

Filed under: General — site admin @ 7:53 am

This may be a future topic on Blog Week In Review’s web segment.

Via The Houston Chronicle.

The lede:

For many years, Google said it wouldn’t rectify the antics of pranksters who rigged terms like “miserable failure” to bring up a White House biography of George W. Bush as a top result on its search engine.

But Google last week reversed its position, changing its algorithms to eliminate so-called “Google bombs” that yield political or humorous results.

On its blog targeted at Web engineers, Google disclosed it made changes to minimize the impact of the most popular Google bombs. Too many people started to believe that the results reflected the company’s political opinion, it said.

“We’ve seen a lot of misconceptions. People thought Google was behind these or was endorsing these” Google bombs, said Matt Cutts, the software engineer at Google who posted an explanation of the company’s decision on the Google Webmaster blog. “It’s not the case. Most of these can be considered pranks, and the direct impact on all search results is minuscule. But it is good to correct our search quality.”

Because of the changes Google made to its formula, searching for “miserable failure” on Google now pulls up a news story by the BBC about Google bombing as the first result, followed by a Wikipedia entry on the topic and another article in an industry publication. The White House page no longer appears in the top 100 results.

 

And fences began to appear throughout the Wild West…

Battle for Najaf 2007

Filed under: General — site admin @ 7:49 am

This week’s Creators Syndicate column, via StrategyPage.

Failing at “unified action”

Filed under: General — site admin @ 7:48 am

That’s the background to this AP report.

Key grafs:

 ”The police training system has not gone well,” former Rep. Lee Hamilton, who co-chaired the bipartisan commission, said in remarks prepared for delivery Wednesday to the Senate Judiciary Committee. He was joined in his statements by another member of the study group, Edwin Meese III, who was attorney general during the Reagan administration.

The U.S. erred by first assigning the task of shaping the judicial system in a largely lawless country to the State Department and private contractors who “did not have the expertise or the manpower to get the job done,” Hamilton and Meese said in testimony obtained by The Associated Press.

In 2004, the mission was assigned to the Defense Department, which devoted more money to the task. But department officials also were insufficiently trained for the job, Hamilton and Meese said.

As a result, Iraq has little if any on-the-street law enforcement personnel or a functioning judicial system free of corruption, they said.

Justice Department officials, they said, should lead the work of transforming the system. Police executives and supervisors should replace the military police personnel now assigned. And the FBI should expand its investigative and forensic training in Iraq, Hamilton and Meese told the panel.

Backup for the background here. Including a definition of “unified action.” Wonk speak? Sure. But what it describes is crucial.

 

 

1/30/2007

The battle of Ashoura — bad guy surge defeated

Filed under: General — site admin @ 8:28 am

The bad guys had a surge plan. They were going to attack Najaf, attack Shia pilgrims, and possibly kill the Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani. Sistani is Iraq’s “most indispensable man.” An Islamic cleric who is a theological quietist and a supporter of democracy.

(Read this Breitbart report. Hat tip pajamas.)

The battle near Najaf –which pitted Iraqi Army forces against the cultist “Soldiers of Heaven” — ended with the death of yet another “mahdi.” You have to suspect that Iranian money and advice encouraged this radical Shia faction.

Slam dunk on Davos

Filed under: General — site admin @ 8:19 am

By Michael Lewis via Bloomberg.

A sample:

So why do these people waste so much of their breath and, presumably, thought, with their elaborate expressions of concern? Even if these global financial elites knew something useful that you and I don’t — that, say, 50 hedge funds were about to go under and drag with them half the world’s biggest banks along with a third of the Third World — they would be unlikely to do anything about it.

And if they really believe the markets mispriced risk, or were about to adjust, they must also believe they could make vast sums of money if they quit their day jobs and opened a hedge fund to take the other side of stupid trades. But they don’t really believe that, or at least some of them would be off doing it, rather than spilling the beans to Bloomberg News.

Is perhaps the only point of standing in the snow and expressing your doubts to a television camera to prove that you are the sort of person whose doubts matter?

 

Ah yes, the tradition of tedious proclamations in search of significance. 

1/28/2007

The Enemy At Home

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:17 am

Dinesh D’Souza in today’s Washington Post.

Readers of Lawrence Wright’s The Looming Tower will get D’Souza’s main point.

Iraq War Myths –and check out number 10

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:07 am

Via StrategyPage.

Here is Myth 10:

10- The War in Iraq is Lost. By what measure? Saddam and his Baath party are out of power. There is a democratically elected government. Part of the Sunni Arab minority continues to support terror attacks, in an attempt to restore the Sunni Arab dictatorship. In response, extremist Shia Arabs formed vigilante death squads to expel all Sunni Arabs. Given the history of democracy in the Middle East, Iraq is working through its problems. Otherwise, one is to believe that the Arabs are incapable of democracy and only a tyrant like Saddam can make Iraqi “work.” If democracy were easy, the Arab states would all have it. There are problems, and solutions have to be found and implemented. That takes time, but Americans have, since the 18th century, grown weary of wars after three years. If the war goes on longer, the politicians have to scramble to survive the bad press and opinion polls. Opposition politicians take advantage of the situation, but this has nothing to do with Iraq, and everything to do with local politics in the United States.

 

Read the entire post.

And keep it as the historical “heads up” it is. In twenty years its common sense assessment will be the conventional wisdom.

Embrace The Suck, via the Los Angeles Times

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:04 am

A short introduction to contemporary milspeak.

The essay is short, but fun.

Buy it at pamphletguys.

1/27/2007

Comments Issues and Site Update

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:51 am

I have received emails from several people informing me that they are having trouble posting comments. As many of you know, we had a server crash in December. The database was damaged. We think that is repaired (the crash also created a problem with the pajamasmedia ad for some readers). The site will be upgraded at the end of February. The comments function may be modified and we hope that solves the posting problem.

Blog Week In Review

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:49 am

Returning from a month’s leave – the new Blog Week In Review.  Brought to you by Volvo Cars, US.

Eric Umansky and Glenn Reynolds are my guests. The “shake out” in Web 2.0 is Topic One, the president’s State of the Union speech topic two. In “What’s next” we discuss Iran. Eric and I also have a sidebar discussion on the societal benefits of a civilian national service program. Ed Driscoll produces.

 

1/26/2007

Kosovo War — is the “final status” about to be resolved?

Filed under: General — site admin @ 3:29 pm

It’s not a hot war — but it remains an unfinished war and certainly an unfinished peace.

This week’s Creators Syndicate column is entitled “The Quest for Kosovo’s Final Status.” I wrote it Tuesday, January 23.

Today (January 26), news about Kosovo began to blossom on the wire services. The Serbian election gave a collection of “pro-Western reform” parties the chance to form a coalition government. (The biggest parties in this group are the Democratic Party and the Democratic Party of Serbia. The G17 Plus Party is another minor reform party.) 

The reform parties want to modernize Serbia and join the EU. Their leaders seem to accept the loss of Kosovo.

However, the nationalist Serbian Radical Party took the most votes of any single party. The SRS staunchly opposes an independent Kosovo.

The UN and EU want to resolve Kosovo’s “final status” but a rapid move toward independence could fracture the reform coalition.

Here’s a Reuters report on UN mediator Martti Ahtisaari’s “independence lite” proposal. That proposal leaked today– but as I noted in my column, the diplomatic “body language” has signaled Kosovar independence.

1/25/2007

Talking defeat

Filed under: General — site admin @ 10:43 am

A must read from the Wall St Journal.

Key graf:

Yes, on any given day on some discrete issue (Prime Minister Maliki’s bona fides, for example), the criticism of the American role is not without justification. But the cumulative effect of this unremitting ill wind is corrosive. We are not only on the way to talking ourselves into defeat in Iraq but into a diminished international status that may be harder to recover than the doom mob imagines. Self-criticism has its role, but profligate self-doubt can exact a price.

 

Sounds a bit like the narrative of doubt.

1/23/2007

a review of Embrace The Suck

Filed under: General — site admin @ 5:04 pm

Via StrategyPage.

Harper’s Progress

Filed under: General — site admin @ 4:29 pm

Hat tip realclearpolitics — an interesting Christian Science Monitor article on Canadian PM Stephen Harper’s first year in office.

Key graf:

Where the war on terror is concerned, he has been, by Canadian standards, revolutionary. For decades, Canadians have loved the image of themselves as “neutral,” peacekeeping do-gooders who don’t actually fight. This is an image difficult to reconcile with past reality, and with the present reality in Afghanistan, where approximately 2,300 Canadian soldiers currently serve. While it was a Liberal prime minister, Jean Chrétien, who committed Canada to the war in Afghanistan, neither he nor his successor, Paul Martin, were as vocal and steadfast in their support for the mission as has been Harper.

 

Read the entire article.

1/21/2007

The Left in Shreds

Filed under: General — site admin @ 11:11 am

A selection from Nick Cohen’s new book (via the Guardian Observer) –hat tip realclearpolitics.com.

An interesting paragraph, considering the origin’s of the European Left’s sense of moral superiority (and the double-standard vis a vis Communism versus Fascism):

Every now and again, someone asks why the double standard persists to this day. The philosophical answer is that communism did not feel as bad as fascism because in theory, if not in practice, communism was an ideology that offered universal emancipation, while only a German could benefit from Hitler’s Nazism and only an Italian could prosper under Mussolini’s fascism. I’m more impressed by the matter-of-fact consideration that fascist forces took over or menaced Western countries in the Thirties and Forties, and although there was a communist menace in the Cold War, the Cold War never turned hot and Western Europe and North America never experienced the totalitarianism of the left.

 

And another, which brings us toward what really motivates so many Lefties — anti-Americanism:

At leftish meetings in the late Eighties, I heard that Iraq encapsulated all the loathsome hypocrisy of the supposedly ‘democratic’ West. Here was a blighted land ruled by a terrible regime that followed the example of the European dictatorships of the Thirties. And what did the supposed champions of democracy and human rights in Western governments do? Supported Saddam, that’s what they did; sold him arms and covered up his crimes. Fiery socialist MPs denounced Baathism, while playwrights and poets stained the pages of the liberal press with their tears for his victims. Many quoted the words of a brave Iraqi exile called Kanan Makiya. He became a hero of the left because he broke through the previously impenetrable secrecy that covered totalitarian Iraq and described in awful detail how an entire population was compelled to inform on their family and friends or face the consequences. All decent people who wanted to convict the West of subscribing to murderous double standards could justifi ably use his work as evidence for the prosecution.

The apparently sincere commitment to help Iraqis vanished the moment Saddam invaded Kuwait in August 1990 and became America’s enemy. At the time, I didn’t think about where the left was going. I could denounce the hypocrisy of a West which made excuses for Saddam one minute and called him a ‘new Hitler’ the next, but I didn’t dwell on the equal and opposite hypocrisy of a left which called Saddam a ‘new Hitler’ one minute and excused him the next

 

And the wretched hypocrisy:

Why is it that apologies for a militant Islam which stands for everything the liberal left is against come from the liberal left? Why will students hear a leftish postmodern theorist defend the exploitation of women in traditional cultures but not a crusty conservative don? After the American and British wars in Bosnia and Kosovo against Slobodan Milosevic’s ethnic cleansers, why were men and women of the left denying the existence of Serb concentration camps? As important, why did a European Union that daily announces its commitment to the liberal principles of human rights and international law do nothing as crimes against humanity took place just over its borders? Why is Palestine a cause for the liberal left, but not China, Sudan, Zimbabwe, the Congo or North Korea? Why, even in the case of Palestine, can’t those who say they support the Palestinian cause tell you what type of Palestine they would like to see? After the 9/11 attacks on New York and Washington why were you as likely to read that a sinister conspiracy of Jews controlled American or British foreign policy in a superior literary journal as in a neo-Nazi hate sheet? And why after the 7/7 attacks on London did leftish rather than right-wing newspapers run pieces excusing suicide bombers who were inspired by a psychopathic theology from the ultra-right?

In short, why is the world upside down? In the past conservatives made excuses for fascism because they mistakenly saw it as a continuation of their democratic rightwing ideas. Now, overwhelmingly and every where, liberals and leftists are far more likely than conservatives to excuse fascistic governments and movements, with the exception of their native far-right parties. As long as local racists are white, they have no difficulty in opposing them in a manner that would have been recognisable to the traditional left. But give them a foreign far-right movement that is anti-Western and they treat it as at best a distraction and at worst an ally.

 

Read the entire article. Here’s the link to Part Two.

Jamil Hussein update

Filed under: General — site admin @ 10:55 am

Apparently Jamil Hussein does exist — which I noted in a recent post– but his six burned Sunnis story isn’t holding up, nor are his “four burned mosques.” Michelle Malkin has returned from Baghdad and this is her report (via the NY Post).

I will write another column on this subject. I intended to do so last week but needed to cover Bush and Blair’s speeches. I’m glad I waited.

Another key graf:

WELL, the Iraqi Ministry of Interior says disputed Associated Press source Jamil Hussein does exist. But at least one story he told the AP just doesn’t check out: The Sunni mosques that as Hussein claimed and AP reported as “destroyed,” “torched” and “burned and [blown] up” are all still standing. So the credibility of every AP story relying on Jamil Hussein remains dubious.

 

As I noted a couple of weeks ago, reporting in a war zone (like fighting in a war zone) is difficult. The AP needs to follow-up on this. Some bloggers and at least one AP editor personalized the debate over this story, attributing dark motives.  That’s too bad, but it’s also the long term trend line. I think that’s why a news council of some type would be useful.

The “nuclear issue” opens Iran to other forms of pressure

Filed under: General — site admin @ 10:44 am

The NY Times frontpage article on Friday, January 19, 2007, had a gem of a quote buried near the end of the story:

“The nuclear issue has paved the way for other forms of pressures on Iran,” Mr. Shirzad said.”

Here’s the context for the quote:

Kargozaran reported that a group of powerful businessmen, the Islamic Coalition Party, met with Mohammad Nahavandian, a senior official at the Supreme National Security Council, and called for moderation in the country’s nuclear policies to prevent further damage to the economy.

In the past year, several major European banks have severed their business ties with Iran. Economists say the banks’ actions will also lead to an increase in inflation because importers must turn to complicated ways to finance purchases.

“The nuclear issue has paved the way for other forms of pressures on Iran,” Mr. Shirzad said.

Despite Mr. Ahmadinejad’s harsh language since the resolution was passed, Ayatollah Khamenei has not referred to it directly and only once said that Iran would not give up its right to pursue its nuclear program.

 

Iran has restive minorities — the Baluchi, its own Shia Arabs, and certainly its Kurds. Iranian intelligence has supported both Sunni and Shia terrorists in Iraq, and we have captured Iranian intel agents to prove it. Iran also has oil production issues with “aging” oil fields and the need to upgrade oil production technology.

Here’s a key graf near the top of the article:

Just one month after the United Nations Security Council imposed sanctions on Iran to curb its nuclear program, two hard-line newspapers, including one owned by the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, called on the president to stay out of all matters nuclear.

 

Iran’s leadership has factions. One wonders if cooler heads in Tehran are attempting to prevail.

1/20/2007

Drug war news

Filed under: General — site admin @ 6:33 pm

Mexico’s new president, Felipe Calderon, decided to get serious about drug gangs in Mexico. StrategyPage has been following the action.

Today Reuters reports on significant legal action by Mexico:

Mexico has extradited four drug kingpins to the United States, striking a blow to warring cartels that killed 2,000 people last year and have turned large areas of the country into lawless badlands.

Osiel Cardenas, who allegedly ran the Gulf cartel, was the most notorious of 11 drug traffickers flown to face trial in the United States on Friday. He was arrested and jailed after a shootout in 2003, but he continued to run drug operations from his prison cell.

Government video images showed Cardenas, who is indicted in Texas for threatening to kill an FBI agent, shuffling in leg chains onto a plane on Friday. He was guarded by a small group of heavily armed police in ski-masks and body armor.

The report details other arrests and extraditions.

Another quote:

The mass extradition is the largest in Mexican history and could be a significant setback to the traffickers.

A total of 15 men were flown to the United States on Friday after their appeals against extradition were exhausted, a step Washington applauded. 

 

Calderon is treating the drug gangs as if they were insurgents. The gangs have acted as a “law unto themselves.”

The Lieberman Interview

Filed under: General — site admin @ 6:26 pm

From today’s OnLine Journal. Joe Lieberman soldiers on.

One of several important quotes:

“Iraq is the central part of a larger and ultimately longer-term conflict in the Middle East between moderates and extremists, between democrats and dictators, between Iran- and Iraq-sponsored terrorism and the rest of the Middle East. . . . Are we going to surrender to them, surrender that country to them, and encourage people like them to be in authority and power all over the Middle East and in a better position to strike us again?” asks Mr. Lieberman.

 

And another, addressing why the US is in Iraq:

This is well-trod ground for a man who supported not just the first Gulf War, but sponsored the 1998 Iraq Liberation Act that aimed to topple the regime. In 2003 “we did something that was right and courageous, which was to overthrow Saddam Hussein,” says Mr. Lieberman. “He was a genocidal dictator, he tried to assassinate a former American president, he used chemical weapons [on his] . . . own people . . . He was a hater of the United States.” Saddam was a danger, not to mention a barrier to creating a democratic Middle East that ceases to be a threat to the U.S.

This is why the senator remains unmoved today by those colleagues who have abandoned the cause, lamenting that they were “deceived” about the existence of WMD or that they have “lost confidence in the leadership of the president.” Says Mr. Lieberman: “If you still think, not only that the original purpose of going in was right, but that how it ends will have a significant effect on American security for a generation or more to come, then you don’t back away.” And that, he says, counts even in the face of faltering public opinion. “I think we are elected to lead. . . . Americans are understandably responding to the carnage they see on TV every night, and what we have to urge them is not to surrender to the people who are causing that carnage.”

 

Read the entire interview.

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