Health Care
Collective Payment and Rationing
Much of the dicussion of rationing health care has focused on end of life issues. We currently spend a good chunk of health spending in the last few months of life. Hence, the argument goes, we are being unreasonable, making heroic efforts to save and prolong life, when they, as a rule, have little prospect of doing much good, particularly in comparison with what the same money could do elsewhere. Perhaps we might also look at beginning of life issues. If we have bureaucrats deciding how to allocate money, might they decide that fertility treatments for women over 40 or so simply are not a good use of scarce resources? Such treatments are not inexpensive, and as women age, the odds of having babies that cost more to raise than the average baby rises. (I also fear that there would be subtle, and perhaps not so subtle, pressure to abort children who are likely to have problems.) Rationing such treatment would be a tragic cost of the centralization of health care. If this bill passes, I hope that such choices are not taken away from us.
Politics
Barone's Numbers
Congress
Re-deeming the Constitution
If it is constitutional, or perhaps I should say if no one with sufficient authority is willing to say that it is not constitutional to "deem" a bill to have passed without actually voting on it, it ought not to be. Hence I propose an amendment, to be added to Article I saying roughly: "No bill shall become law unless the exact same has been passed independently by each house of Congress and then signed by the President, or, failing his signature, being subsequently approved by 2/3 of each house."
Whoever introduced it could say, "it is unfortunate that the Democrats have resorted to Parliamentary casuistry to pass a bill without really passing it. That should never happen again. This amendment is designed to do that," or words to that effect.
Pop Culture
Fess Parker, RIP
I think, rather, of his performance as the father in Old Yeller--particularly in the closing scene where he speaks to his son about what it means to become a man. He talks of bearing hurts and holding on to things worth loving. And he balances his otherwise unflappable character with just the gentlest nod to tenderness--without permitting a wallowing in self-pity.
In 2004 (I think) we took our kids to a Disney themed Independence Day extravaganza at the Hollywood Bowl. We were surprised (because it was unannounced) when Fess Parker walked on stage for the finale to do a public reading of the Declaration of Independence. He did it with exactly the same kind of resolve and spirit that impressed me in Old Yeller. In short, it was utterly believable and deeply moving because you could not help but know that--in both cases--these were words with which he agreed. They were words that resonated with and moved him. He spoke with the kind of passion that is only understandable when it is genuine. And one could tell that he felt obliged but happy to share those words because they were words he lived by and sought to make known to others in his own particular, and I'd say, splendid way.
If the genre in which Davy Crockett and Daniel Boone fall into does not seem to resonate with boys today, I'd suggest that this has less to do with today's boys than it does with the inability (or is it unwillingness?) of Hollywood to find men like Parker to portray them with the same passion (but with today's production values). When some genius in Hollywood finally figures this out, he'll make a fortune and boys will, once again, be scrambling for coonskin (faux, of course) caps.
Politics
Cranky Professor Part 2
Foreign Affairs
Remember Cuba?
It's still only 90 miles from Key West, and it's still a murderous dictatorship--although, as Henry Gomez writes, it never generated the sort of fury from the American left as did, say, South Africa in the 1980s. In fact, Michael Moore suggested that Cuba's health care system might be a model for the United States. Today Dr. Darsi Ferrer languishes in a Cuban prison for revealing that Moore was merely serving as a mouthpiece for Castro's propaganda.
Gomez would like us to remember that today--March 18--marks the seventh anniversary of "Black Spring," when Castro's goons rounded up 75 critics of the regime. Most of them are still locked up, but one of them, Orlando Zapata Tamayo, died in prison on February 23.
Politics
Restorationists
"Restoration" you may know, was Lincoln's preferred term for what came (instead) to be known as "Reconstruction." And, with that poor and anti-Lincolnian title (and without the benefit of Lincoln's wise hand guiding it's implementation), Reconstruction probably opened the door to all sorts of mischief and poor understanding in and of American political life. Lincoln, like today's Tea Partiers, sought to restore America to her original and noble purposes as understood in our Revolution and Founding. He did not imagine that he could or should transform it--and he worked mightily to prevent those laboring under that arrogant and foolish supposition (whether they were Unionists or dis-Unionists) from getting the upper hand. Unfortunately, he did not live to see that work all the way through.
It is high time that someone did see it through. Long live today's Restorationists!
Education
National Standards for Confusion
In today's Sacramento Bee, Ben Boychuk takes on the movement toward a standardized national curriculum through the Common Core State Standards Initiative. These "voluntary" standards have some sharp edges for states that don't sign on--but this has not prevented two states--Texas and Alaska--from standing up and refusing to be lured with federal money.
A perceived problem for those advocating on behalf of keeping standards at the state level has been the rancorous and, in many ways, ridiculous fight over history standards in Texas that has produced, in the words of Boychuk, "a politically correct mishmash." Any objective observer of the outcome in Texas would have to concede that their "solution" has been less than wonderful. As Ben says in the comment section under his piece, "including the Declaration of Independence in the social studies standards while excluding Thomas Jefferson is... confusing." It is also stupid and deserving of all the mockery and derision it is getting--however wrong-headed and mean-spirited some of it may be. (One way to avoid being called a fool is to avoid doing foolish things!) But this result is in no way--as left-wing critics eager to score points against the "rubes" in red states might hope--an argument in favor of national standards. It is an argument AGAINST them. Why would we want to nationalize that fiasco of a fight in Texas? For that is exactly what would happen. At least sensible Texans know where to go and whom to blame when their kids are confused. Where will sensible Americans across the 50 states turn to redress their grievances with the curriculum when it comes down from on high? Where will their power to effect the intellectual development of their own children be lodged? Talk about confusing!
Politics
The Cranky Professor Is Back
Politics
Predictions I Don't Want To Believe In
But it is what I think,
1. The Senate version of Obamacare will pass in the House. The vast majority of undecided House Dems are either holding out for the best offer or hoping this is all just a bad dream. But at the end of the day, they will do as they are told. I don't know if it will be by "deem and pass" or by an up or down vote.
2. Obamacare will have become law without any overt changes to the filibuster rule.
3. I think that in the short term, conservatives will try (and I believe with all sincerity) to make the most of Democratic manipulation of procedural rules and their stated willingness to manipulate those rules even further. I think that the long term consequence will be a weakening of respect for procedural norms on the right. Respect for rules like the filibuster are dependent on the belief that those rules will be respected by the other party when they are in power. The majority gives up some power in the present in return for not being shut out when they are in the minority. The willingness of Democrats to use the reconciliation process to pass Obamacare is a clear signal to Republicans that respecting the filibuster in the present will not, on the most important issues (where filibusters are most important as a moderating device), preserve the filibuster when the Democrats take over again . So when Republicans are in such a position that only the filibuster stands in the way of achieving some major goal, the Republicans will gut the filibuster. I imagine that there will be a few liberals who cheer the loss of the filibuster as an advance in small-d democracy, but I don't think they will be very many.
Courts
Hocus Pocus SCOTUS POTUS
The often astute Jeff Rosen eggs on Obama's confrontation with the Supreme Court, outlining a Court-bashing strategy Obama can use to his advantage. (Given Axelrod's interest in Lincoln's political savvy, I'm sure something similar has occurred to him and has put it in play.) The trouble is, Obama's manner of unleashing his attack, at the SOTU, made him look like a schoolyard bully, not a TR with the bully pulpit.
If the Dems use the Slaughter House Rules to get Obamacare through, this Court-confronting strategy might help delegitimize an opinion declaring the desperate tactic unconstitutional. Hence the short as well as long-term importance of the current wave of Mrs. Clarence (Virginia) Thomas-bashing. But the left needs to silence more than her for the proposed Rosen strategy to work.
Politics
Dems' self-execution
History
The Pacific
Politics
On Second Thought, Maybe Anonymity Would Be Better
So Yglesias is now shilling his "You might lose your House seat but make history" line over at the Daily Beast. But how will those Democrats who waited until the last moment to collect the final payoff or who broke under pressure from their party (or both), before they voted yes on Obamacare be remembered even by sympathetic historians? How do we remember Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky? She was the House Democrat who buckled to the House Democratic leadership at the last moment and voted for Clinton's tax increase in return for a promise that Clinton would go to her district for a pr show. She lost her House seat, but I don't think that historians who stoop to notice her will see real heroism.
My impression is that she is remembered as a case study of how congressional leadership can intimidate and bribe weak-willed caucus members into politically suicidal acts. So perhaps the wavering House Democrats face a more complicated choice than they might assume. If they switch at the last moment, putting aside their principles (if they have any) and the will of their constituencies, they might well get a place in history. But it might not be the place in history that Yglesias is offering. They might instead, get the place in history that they deserve.
Military
Competence
Education
Edjumucation
With Obama's latest feint toward moderation, his reform of No Child Left Behind, consider Kevin Kosar's brief critique. Here's his assessment of political science's contribution to political understanding.
See the sidebar links for book reviews, commentary, and lengthier studies on education, including his book. Besides being an authority on federal higher education policy, Kevin also manages a website devoted to the model of all social science scholars Edward Banfield and another called AlcoholReviews. He is the late professor's grandson-in-law--a fact evidenced by the closing line in the NCLB article "So call me grumpy, but I think much work remains to be done, and I won't be surprised if we end up sorely disappointed again."
Politics
Vanity
If I had to bet, I think that the Democrats will find enough votes in the House of Representatives to pass the Senate version of Obamacare. I suspect that status rewards will play a role in the switches. I was thinking presidential appointments, academic sinecures, and awards ceremonies. Matthew Yglesias suggests another status reward. House members who vote no and lose reelection as a result will be remembered as Heroes of the Revolution and lauded by liberal historians in 2060.
So lets break this down. Why might these no votes be inclined to vote against Obamacare? I can think of two major reasons. First, because they might object to Obamacare on the merits of the policy. Second, because they respect (or fear) the perceived wishes of their constituents who oppose Obamacare. How many members of the House of Representatives would be willing to put aside their substantive objections and/or the will of their constituents not for rewards in this world, but in the hopes of gaining a posthumous favorable mention from some liberal-leaning historian? My first guess is too many.
Environment
Now This Is Just Too Much Fun
Economy
Debt, debt, debt
This morning Bloomberg is reporting that the United States, along with Great Britain, is in danger of losing its AAA credit rating. In addition, Social Security has announced that it has begun cashing in its Treasury bonds to make up the difference between what the SSA has been collecting in taxes and what it's been paying out in benefits.
I know what you're thinking--what a perfect time for Uncle Sam to take on a massive new entitlement program!
Men and Women
Azar Get Your Gun
At the Happy Mean, Priscilla reflects on the right of gun ownership in the Third/Fourth world and its meaning for women. "'Tapestries are lovely, and we all want one, but [Afghan Colonel Shafiqa] Quraishi prefers that women have guns. Her immediate goal is to expand the number of women in the police force to 5,000.'" Priscilla agrees with Mary Eberstadt that women should not serve in wars--but a policing situation is different.
Health Care
The Problems With Romneycare
So I bought Romney's new book . I figure that If I'm going to oppose him, I ought to be up to date on my reasons. I think that the combination of mandates and subsidies in Romneycare was an idea worth trying. It must have seemed like a good way to increase coverage and reduce consumer health care costs while preserving a private health insurance market. It hasn't worked out as well in practice. The combination madates and subsidies has created a perverse political incentive within the Massachusetts health care market. Providers can expand their customer base by lobbying the legislature to mandate coverage for more services rather than try to compete for customers based on price. The cost of these mandates are hidden from consumers because it ends up as higher-than-the-national-average premium increases and ends up getting blamed on the mean old insurance companies. To the extent that our current health care system is unsustainable, a national version of Romneycare would make it more unsustainable.
The health insurance system under a Romneycare arrangement becomes an ever more rigid and government regulated form of comprehensive medical care prepayment in which the costs are hidden from the consumer and the benefits go to organized interests. Any attempt to reopen the market by reducing the mandate burden is easily spun as benefiting the same insurance companies that are currently overcharging you. And there is of course no guarantee that lifitng the coverage mandates will lead to lower premiums. For all you know, your employer might switch to a policy with less coverage but no less cost. The risks of change are obvious, the benefits of change speculative, the costs of stasis hidden.
In his book, Romney wrote that he was surprised that "every [italics in original] interest group in the state supported" Romneycare. As well they might have. Everybody gets a cut. Even the insurance companies have their customer base guaranteed by the individual mandate and the coverage mandates shield them from aggressive competition. The politicians even get to posture against the premium increases (and maybe win back some small, certain to be temporary reductions) even as the system they constructed and administer guarantees endless future premium increases. Perversity piles upon perversity.
It might be possible to construct a mandate and subsidy system that works better but it would have to be totally different from Romneycare. It would mean giving consumers more control of their health care dollars (through a combination of HSA's and catastrophic coverage) and forcing providers to compete based on a transparent price system. It would mean creating a mandate and subsidy system that fostered a competitive rather than corporatist health care market. Mitch Daniels in Indiana has shown how such a program can bring down costs even without mandates.
Foreign Affairs
Gorby Revives His Inspector Clouseau Impression
Pop Culture
Satire for a Sunday Morning
Technology
Toyota Feeding Frenzy
I had been skeptical for some time regarding the claims being made against Toyota in recent months. Now that Washington and the UAW essentially own General Motors, the ferocity of the government's assault on one of GM's leading nonunion competitors seemed strangely suspicious. It appears that there were acceleration problems with the Prius that the company is now trying to fix. However, the story isn't being allowed to die so quickly, and the media has been all over an alleged incident involving one James Sikes. Michael Fumento has reason to believe that Sikes is lying. For one thing, there are some significant holes in his story. At one point Sikes claimed that he was afraid to try putting the car into neutral or hitting the ignition button--even when the 911 dispatcher pleaded him to do so--explaining that he was too frightened to let go of the steering wheel. But apparently he wasn't afraid to reach down and try to pull up the accelerator with his hand (which, he claims, didn't work).
But what would be his motive to lie? Well, this site reveals that Sikes is over $700,000 in debt, and among his creditors is Toyota. He also has a history of filing false insurance claims. These are tidbits that have yet to come up in the network coverage of the case. Let's hope that they do soon.
Journalism
Open Conservative Minds
David Brooks insists that Barack Obama, despite his misreading of public opinion, "is still the most realistic and reasonable major player in Washington." (Look at the abuse leftist commenters heap on him, as your conservatism dismisses this as liberal madness.) "In a sensible country, people would see Obama as a president trying to define a modern brand of moderate progressivism." Bring me smarter citizens--the cry of savants throughout the ages! In truth, Brooks has a point about Obama's Middle East policy and maybe on another issue or two. But what is at the man's core, what he does he ultimately want to achieve? Brooks is at odds with, among others', Charles Kesler's reading of Obama, which finds far more ambition (and political extremism) in him than in Clinton or other liberals.
Michael Gerson is even more problematic in his reasoning, making extraordinary parallels based on the relative successes of the gay rights and the pro-life movements:
But so far the gay rights movement has succeeded for many of the same reasons that the pro-life movement (to a lesser extent) has succeeded. Both have taken sometimes abstract, theoretical arguments and humanized them. Both have moved away from extreme-sounding moralism (or anti-moralism) and placed their cause in the context of civil rights progress. Whatever your view on the application of these arguments, this is the way social movements advance in America.
Yes, the way social movements advance is often through spurious comparisons, repeated by authorities. Moreover, the civil rights movement morphed into racial/ethnic preference pleading that is a key part of expanding the administrative state. It is the civil rights movement based on the Declaration that must move Gerson, but he has a strange view of it, if he wants to apply it to both pro-life and gay rights.
Both Brooks and Gerson seem to lack any objective standards by which to assess whether a policy is moral or immoral, just or unjust. Brooks endorsed a form of gay marriage; is Gerson far behind?
But as much as some conservatives fail us we should ourselves of how bad liberal establishment journalism was and remains. See the anti-Fox rant of Howell Raines, former NY Times editor, in tomorrow's WaPo.
Presidency
The Presidential Peters' Principle
Wouldn't it be a fine thing to have another president whose first serious taste of failure didn't come in the Oval Office? We don't need presidents with exclusive academic credentials. We need presidents who know what it's like to work for a living. We need presidents who understand average Americans. We need presidents for whom the White House isn't just the ultimate résumé entry.
Health Care
Repeal Won't Be Enough
Our brilliant commenter Carl Scott (who should be hired for some full time pundit gig at a major newspaper or magazine) rightly pointed out in one of the threads that if Obamacare passes, "Repeal It" will be the phrase of the day, month and maybe years on the right. This sentiment might help drive turnout among right-leaning people who consume conservative media, and it might help win some close House and Senate seats. But I think that "Repeal It" sentiment will prove to be a wasting asset if it is not supplemented with an-almost-as-great focus on alternative conservative policies. People are risk averse on health care. That is one of the great advantages that conservatives have enjoyed in the argument over Obamacare.
The problem is that the moment Obamacare passes, that advantage begins to flip in favor of Obamacare. Repealing guaranteed issue might seem like a net loss. Some of the medicare cuts can be repealed. Whats an extra couple of hundred billion between friends? We'll take care of it with an... uh freeze...starting in a couple of years. If premiums rise faster than expected, the blame can be shfted to the mean old insurace companies. Not only are they raising your premiums, if we repeal Obamacare, they will take away your insurance. There will be no alternative to patiently explaining the policy problems of Obamacare and pitching the message to the median (and even Democrat-leaning but persuadable) voter rather than commited and inflamed conservatives. The problem is that it will be tough to sell them on the benefits pre-Obamacare status quo, not because Obamacare will be good, but because, in the short and medium term, the practical difference between Obamacare and pre-Obamacare will be so small. One would give up security and get in return the pre-Obamacare rate of increase in premiums. But that rate was already too high, so it might not seem like such a big benefit. I can see Obamacare being replaced by a conservative policy alternative that promised lower cost and equal or better quality, but I can't see it simply repealed.
Replacing Obamacare with a free market-oriented alternative will involve huge expenditures of time and energy in explaining the policies and benefits to the public and defending them from what are sure to be furious and well funded liberal attacks. Conservatives are already years behind in the task of selling the public on free market-oriented alternatives to the status quo. In the wake of Hillarycare's defeat, the dominant consevative message on health care was 1) greatest health cares system in the world 2) no socialized medicine 3) something about tort reform. McCain had a health reform plan he could not bother to defend from Obama's attacks. Perhaps he thought responding would take attention away from more important issues like earmarks and whether Obama had compared Sarah Palin to a pig. Both of these approaches probably seemed like the easy way at the time. Explaining how a combination of HSA's and catastrophic coverage (or moving to a system of individually bought insurance through tax code changes) will help bring down costs without hurting the availability of crucial services is tough. Explaining the policies to help people with preexisting conditions during the transition to such a system will be painstaking because people will be scared, the ideas will be new to them, and the Democrats will be trying to terrify them. If conservatives have a rhetoric for explaining these approaches to people who aren't CSPAN junkies, I haven't heard it.
Focusing on "Repeal It" will likewise seem easy. Right-leaning America will have those words on their lips (and as Carl said, bumber stickers too). It won't mean having to do the hard jobs of settling on alternative reform policies, developing ways of explaining them and having the sheer energy and persistence it will take to defend them in the face of what are sure to be relentless attacks. But avoiding the hard jobs is one of the reasons why we are on the edge of state-run health care.
Economy
Myth-busting for a Healthy Commercial Republic
Ay, there's the rub . . . for taking things in "a realistic context" (i.e., a cheerful sense of humor and recognition of life's inevitable imperfection) seems to be a thing beyond the dominating memes of both the right and left today.
RTWT.
Foreign Affairs
The Obama Doctrine: Burma Follows Suit
"President Obama took office hoping that constructive diplomacy [read: elegant talking - JP] could yield progress on some of the thorniest foreign-policy challenges facing the United States. Among these was Burma...." Thus begins today's WaPo story, which quickly continues as everyone of reasonable clarity always expected. "This week the regime delivered its answer: Get lost."
Everyone in the world is aware that Burma's ruling junta is guilty of a longstanding "pattern of gross and systematic violation of human rights." In 2007, I wrote of the massacre of peaceful, pro-democracy monks and the international community's failure to respond. Burma's junta has now excluded the only opposition party in its sham democracy from participating in anticipated elections.
WaPo concludes: "Mr. Obama was right to offer, cautiously, an open hand. It has been spat upon. Now is the time for something new." The first sentiment is naive, the second foreseeable and the third long overdue. When the WaPo is calling for a - shall we call it, "smarter" - strategy, one must wonder how long it will take for Obama to (even quietly) concede that the world is a harder place than he imagined - and not just because mean, Western conservatives aren't listening hard enough to everyone else.
Environment
The Meltdown Continues
Health Care
Obama's No-Win Situation
The Reason Foundation's Shikha Dalmia tells us why the administration finds itself in the mess it's in over health care, and why, even if the current abomination passes, things are likely only going to get worse for the Democrats. The problem, of course, is that the public simply doesn't want what they're selling:
The combined unfunded liabilities of Medicare and Social Security--the federal health care and the pension programs for the elderly--are $107 trillion, seven times the current GDP. Meanwhile, Medicaid, the joint federal-state health insurance program, is consuming on average 21% of state budgets, their single biggest ticket item even before ObamaCare dumps another 16 million people into the program, expanding the Medicaid population by 25%. Beyond that, state and local government have promised their employees a trillion dollars more in pension and other benefits than they have funds to deliver.
There are not enough taxpayers in the country or creditors in China capable of financing all these promises. Expanding this massive, multifarious entitlement state even more strikes most normal people as sheer lunacy--especially now that it is visibly coming apart at the seams.
Nevertheless, Obama's own character makes it impossible for him to step back from the precipice:
His goal is not to remake his party as it could be but "remake this world as it should be." In his book Dreams From My Father Obama gives the distinct impression that his gifts are too great for the smallness of our political stage. He regrets not having been born during the civil rights era when the grandness of the cause would have measured up to the grandness of his ambition. He is in search of something big that will allow him to make his mark on the world as Abraham Lincoln and Martin Luther King did. Hence, the defeat of ObamaCare would not just be par for the course in the rough-and-tumble world of politics for him. It would be sign of his ordinariness, his mortality, and that, to him, is unendurable.
Technology
How Private Citizens Helped Catch "Jihad Jane"
ABC is reporting the role of "'Net Vigilantes" in leading authorities to the Pennsylvania woman who called herself "Jihad Jane." Apparently there's a network of internet users who've been following YouTube, various blogs, and other websites where individuals have been making violent Islamist tirades. They then make their findings public on sites such as The Jawa Report and YouTube Smackdown. They've apparently had considerable success in getting YouTube to pull the most offensive videos (some 31,000 since 2007), and in persuading web hosting companies to shut down the nastiest sites. They use pseudonyms, and with good reason, given that they themselves could find themselves the targets of Islamist violence; the person who runs The Jawa Report goes by Rusty Shackelford. (Bonus points if you recall that name as the pseudonym used by Dale in King of the Hill.)
For years, it turned out, Colleen LaRose (who frequently posted as "Jihad Jane" and "Fatima LaRose" had been putting out videos praising terrorists and expressing violent hatred of the United States. One of the "'Net Vigilantes" in particular began following her tirades closely, picking up bits of information that LaRose provided. She was, this individual writes, "the perfect recruit for extremist; lonely, isolated, blaming others for her problems, in the middle of a midlife crisis, and upset that she had to care for her elderly mother. She lashed out and converted to Islam then used this as an excuse to lash out further at society for being at fault for her problems and citing her elderly mother she had to care for who did not approve of her conversion."
The Civil War & Lincoln
Mac Owens on Lincoln as a War President
Here is Mac Owens on YouTube (this is big-time stuff, Mac!) talking about Lincoln as a war president. Probably some of the best stuff out there on the topic, yet, if any one of you decide to attack Mac (or Lincoln), I sure would like to see how your dogs of war fare against this Silver Starred Marine.
Health Care
Salt, a Deadly Weapon?
Drudge notes that New York wants to ban the use of salt in restaurant kitchens. Here we have more evidence, as if it were needed, that socialized medicine and basic liberty are very hard to reconcile. When I am on the hook for your health care bills (and vice versa), I have an interest in what you eat, whether you exercise, whether you engage in risky sports, etc.
I am sure that when socialized medicine was first brought up in the U.S., people said that it would, ultimately, give the government the right to tell us what to eat. I am also certain, that supporters of socialized medicine said that was absurd. We'll much of American health care is paid for by all of us, collectively, and it is already happening.
Once again, we see that unintended consequences are often predictable.
Health Care
President Telemarketer
He's turning into President Telemarketer: incessantly bugging you, trying to get you to buy a product that you don't want, can't afford, and have heard terrible things about. But he's convinced that this call at dinnertime will be the one that changes your mind.How do we get our names put on the "do not call" list for this Telemarketing scheme?
Progressivism
Madison, Wilson, Obama
Henry Adams wrote that "The progress of evolution from President Washington to President Grant, was alone evidence enough to upset Darwin." In an update, George Will sees the replacement of politics by the administrative state, as called for by Wilson and Obama, in the healthcare legislation. RTWT, but here are the last two paragraphs:
So note also Obama's yearning for something [in healthcare legislation] "academically approved" rather than something resulting from "a lot of negotiations with a lot of different people," aka politics. Here, too, Obama is in the spirit of the U.S. president who first was president of the American Political Science Association.Wilson was the first president to criticize the Founding Fathers. He faulted them for designing a government too susceptible to factions that impede disinterested experts from getting on with government undistracted. Like Princeton's former president, Obama's grievance is with the greatest Princetonian, the "father of the Constitution," James Madison, class of 1771.
Update: Jonah Goldberg elaborates on Will's column, with thanks to Claremonsters.
Health Care
Barack I as Henry V
The (Eventual) Strange Death of the Filibuster
I think and maybe fear that the argument over reconciliation might have inflicted a mortal wound on the filibuster, but not in the way that liberals might have hoped and probably in a way that they will live to regret - at least for a time. On the one hand the filibuster will come out of this current scrap okay. Obamacare will pass or fail based on whether the House of Reps passes the Senate version of Obamacare unchanged. If the House passes it, the Senate version of Obamacare become law. The law passed the Senate according to the familiar filibuster rule. It got sixty votes in the Senate (as the vote was taken before the Massachusetts Senate election). The reconciliation process then might or might not (I suspect not) be used to make some changes in the version of Obamacare we get.
The problem will come when the Republicans again take over control of the presidency and both houses of Congress. The Democrats remembered how the Republicans in the Bush years threatened to change the filibuster rule (using weak and transparently self-serving constitutional arguments) to back the Democrats off filibustering Bush Supreme Court nominees. The Republicans will remember how a Democrat President who was a staunch supporter (and user) of the filibuster rule when he himself was in the Senate minority was happy to see the filibuster circumvented. They will also remember that he abandoned the filibuster in order to pass a major and controversial piece of legislation - exactly the kind of legislation that the filibuster, if it has any purpose, was designed to to moderate in order to garner crossparty support and broad legitimacy.
In the memories of many Republicans, the filibuster will have become a one way door in which the Democrats can pass things by ignoring the filibuster, but Republicans require supermajorities. And it will be a door that can be broken by fifty Republican Senators and an allied Vice President. It is easy to imagine that a Republican President with narrow congressional majorities will take such a path to undo many liberal policies and enact many conservative policies of that would not have gotten sixty votes in the Senate and therefore not have passed in so pure a form or perhaps not passed at all.
Liberals will have many complaints. The will argue that the "fierce urgency of now" had given way to the need to do nothing until liberals are back in the saddle for consolidation and broad consensus for major change. They will also note correctly that they never actually changed the filibuster rule. But Republicans will remember the bad faith across decades, and the cries of the liberals will not avail.
Technology
Weird Science Update
Health Care
Tea Party Locke-Down
In the latest issue of the Claremont Review of Books, editor Charles Kesler explains why Obamacare clashes with America's most fundamental political principles. Charles notes the massive delegation of power to boards and agencies, among other anti-Lockean (that is, anti-Declaration of Independence) practices.
It was against the threat of such a despotism that proper and not so proper Bostonians threw the original Tea Party. The English East India Company was about to go bankrupt, and the British government bailed it out by passing the Tea Act of 1773, granting the Company's agents a monopoly on selling tea to Americans and filling the government's own coffers by taxing the sales. The Americans had already rejected this tax as unconstitutional in 1767, but it stayed on the books. Among the Company's agents in Massachusetts were the royal governor's two sons and a nephew. They didn't call it Chicago-style politics then, but the principles were the same.Today's Tea Party movement sees a similar threat of despotism-of monopoly control of health care, corrupting bailouts, massive indebtedness, and the eclipse of constitutional rights-in the Obama Administration's policies. The Tea Party patriots may mistake the President's motives when they compare him to King George. But they are right to suspect in the very nature of modern liberalism and the modern state something hostile to the consent of the governed and to constitutional liberty. The republic will owe them a debt of gratitude if Obama's plans end up just as wet as George III's, floating in the salty tea pot of Boston Harbor.
A desperate response to such attacks on Progressivism from resident WSJ leftist Thomas Frank (subscriber only); here's his conclusion:
Now, here is the revolt against big government stripped down to its essentials. Civilization itself is the [sic.] bunk, its taxes and regulations as artificial and as unhealthy as its diet of booze and candy. For today's cavemen conservatives, the correct model is simplicity itself: It's every man for himself. And if you want a piece of the mammoth, you'd better get to work.
Men and Women
The "Gendercide" Tragedy of Gender Equality as Abortion Rights
Speaking before the UN Commission on the Status of Women yesterday, the Holy See's Archbishop Celestino Migliore assessed that the plight of women over the past 15 years "includes some light, but also many and disturbing shadows." While "cultural and social dynamics" are surely major factors in explaining the continuing realities of "female feticide, infanticide, and abandonment," Migliore also pointed to "principles, priorities and action policies in force in international organizations."
"Gender equality" - the "context" in which the UN and EU discuss women's issues - "is proving increasingly ideologically driven, ... delays the true advancement of women... [and] dissolve[s] every specificity and complementarity between men and women." This radical feminist ideology defines gender (as opposed to sex) as a social construct devoid of natural, genetic or inherent qualities (i.e., boys only act like boys because they're taught to do so - if left alone, men would be mentally and psychologically indistinguishable from girls). Such a misguided principle seeks not to celebrate womanhood or protect a unique female identity, but rather to duplicate masculinity among females in the name of equality.
The result of this fanaticism is the use of abortion access as the principal measure "of personal, social, economic and political rights." Because feminist leaders regard conservative thinking and Christian morality, rather than generational poverty and third-world oppression, as the greatest enemies to their vision of women's rights, their priority is to promote the most radical, divisive and anathema policies in order to offend, defeat and drive-out the competition.
The effect, of course, has been most devastating among vulnerable women. In last week's article, "The worldwide war on baby girls," The Economist relates the disparate impact of global abortion on women, determining that the result is nothing short of "gendercide." Though the natural gender ratio of births is about 103-106 boys for every 100 girls, in some provinces of China the ratio is 130-100, and among third children as high as 275-100. Similar male-heavy trends are scattered throughout Eastern Europe and Asia.
Rather than eradicating abortion as a plague upon female infants, the EU this week fined Poland for refusing to allow a woman to abort her child on the grounds that pregnancy "affected her eyesight" and censured a national Catholic newspaper for simply reporting on the matter. (The offending sentence read: "we are living in a world where a mother is granted an award for the fact that she very much wanted to kill her child, but was forbidden to do so.").
The co-mingled women's rights and abortion rights industries are the single most destructive and fatal forces affecting women today. In their blind radicalism, they devote themselves to the very causes of female gendercide in the name of female empowerment.
Race
Census and Sensibility
A week or so ago I noted my frustrations with the race box on the census. Mark Kirkorian suggests one way of dealing with it (the very one that our commentor "Cowgirl" noted she does):
We should answer Question 9 by checking the last option -- "Some other race" -- and writing in "American." It's a truthful answer but at the same time is a way for ordinary citizens to express their rejection of unconstitutional racial classification schemes. In fact, "American" was the plurality ancestry selection for respondents to the 2000 census in four states and several hundred counties.
So remember: Question 9 -- "Some other race" -- "American". Pass it on.
The Founding
The Right to Defense?
Cesar Conda does a nice job noting that it is quite a stretch to compare John Adams' defense of the British soldiers involved in the Boston Massacre with contemporary attorneys who volunteered to defend the prisoners at Guantanamo:
The John Adams analogy that Ken Starr and the other lawyers cite in their statement is ludicrous: At the time of the Boston Massacre we were not at war and the British soldiers he defended were in court facing a criminal charge of murder. Adams was not representing prisoners of war, enemies of the nation, trying to get them released in the middle of a war. And Adams wasn't embarrassed about what he did -- if what the terrorists' lawyers did was so noble, why is the DOJ refusing to tell us what they work on now?
Once the war started, Adams did not think the redcoats deserved jury trials when they were captured. In this case, the issue is also that some of those same lawyers are now working on the same issue for the U.S. government. As I understand it, legal ethics usualy suggest that such lawyers recuse themselves in that situation.
Meanwhile, perhaps we should remember what Adams was arguing at the trial. The soldiers, he noted, were exercising their right of self-defense from attack by a mob. They were exercising their rights under law. They were not engaging in war. Under English law, which followed the law of nature, he noted:
"The injured party may repell force with force in defence of his person, habitation, or property, against one who manifestly tendeth and endeavoureth with violence, or surprise, to commit a known felony upon either." Furthermore, he noted: "In these cases he is not obliged to retreat, but may pursue his adversary, till he findeth himself out of danger, and if in a conflict between them he happeneth to kill, such killing is justifiable."
Wonder what Adams thought about the right to bear arms?
Pop Culture
And Now for Something Completely Different
Politics
Random Thoughts
Economy
When Tails Aren't Legs and Other Hard Truths
Abraham Lincoln once asked an audience how many legs a dog has, if you called the tail a leg? When the audience said "five," Lincoln corrected them, saying that the answer was four. "The fact that you call a tail a leg does not make it a leg."The same hard truth, Sowell argues, can be applied today to things now veiled with the gauzy mantle "stimulus" and "jobs bill." These failed attempts to "prime the pump" have failed (and will continue to fail), Sowell argues, because the whole point of priming a pump is to draw out the water that is already there but reluctant to come out. Banks aren't lending and the economy is not growing because the "priming" they are getting feels a bit more like an attempt at a draining:
You don't lend when politicians are making it more doubtful whether you are going to get your money back-- either on time or at all. From the White House to Capitol Hill, politicians are coming up with all sorts of bright ideas for borrowers not to have to pay back what they borrowed and for lenders not to be able to foreclose on people who are months behind on their mortgage payments.
A priming is not supposed to replace the flow of latent waters or to chastise those latent waters for not adequately seeking to quench the thirst of all those longing for a drink. It isn't too much to ask of the thirsty that they come to the well, on their own . . . and with a cup of their own. For only then will the pump be primed and the waters feel justified in flowing freely.
Health Care
Ken Blackwell on the Health Care Bill
Ashbrook Center
No Left Turns Mug Drawing for February
Congratulations to this month's winners of a No Left Turns mug! The winners are as follows:
John Vaughn
K.W. Thompson
Clark Irwin
Christian Zwick
Marsha Brannan
Thanks to all who entered. An email has been sent to the winners. If you are listed as a winner and did not receive an email, contact Ben Kunkel. If you didn't win this month, enter March's drawing.
Politics
Priceless Pictures
Politics
Life After Suicide
The agony over Obamacare continues. As Jeffrey Anderson reminds us at NRO, only the House of Reps. matters now. If the House passes the Senate version of Obamacare, then America get the Senate version of Obamacare. Period. Who really cares if the tax on "cadillac" health care plans begins in 2018 or 2016 or 2015 or whatever?
Based on simple self-preservation, it should be impossible for Obama to switch any of the votes of House Democrats who voted no on Obamacare to yes. Most come from districts who have right-leaning constituencies. The liberal blog memes seem to be that that voting yes on Obamacare would a) get out the liberal base and save their hides and b) passing Obamacare will show the public that higher taxes and medicare cuts are just awesome and that only Republican spin caused people to doubt our dear President. I doubt if any of the Democrats being targeted are dumb enough to buy this nonsense. They come from districts where getting the Democratic base on your side doesn't get you very far when it is an issue where less than 45% of the people are on your side. They must also know that it will not be helpful to vote for tax increases and medcare cuts in right-leaning districts in a year where the turnout model will skew both older and more conservative.
But there is another, more promising path. One might argue to these Democrats that they are probably losers no matter how they vote on Obamacare. It really is 1994 all over again (at least in their districts) and keeping his distance from Clintoncare didn't help Jim Cooper when he ran for Senate from Tennessee. But there is more than the November election to think about. There is voting no, sterile defeat, and obscurity and there is voting yes, defeat and attractive options. The Obama administration and the institutions of the left-of-center have gifts in hand for a defeated member of the House of Reps whose vote made the difference in making real the dream of state-run health care. For the lawyers, are places on the federal bench. For those more interested in uh... culture, there are ambassadorships to safe countries with pleasant climates. For the wannabe academics, Harvard's Kennedy School of Government could place a whole crop of Professors of Distinguished Public Service Who Lost In A Good Cause Because of Unfair Republican Attacks. And Profiles in Courage Awards for all.
The most effective argument Obama might haveleft is that the targeted Democrats face electoral death no matter what they do, but if they vote right (or left, if you will), they can find an afterlife of financial stability and and status rewards.