Skills of the Future
The EIU examines how schools can prepare students for tomorrow’s job market.
Evolving business needs, technological advances and new work structures, among
other factors, are redefining what are considered to be valuable skills for the
future. Determining what these are, however, is far from straightforward.
The very pace and unpredictability of change means that, as Paul Cappon, former
president of the Canadian Council on Learning, puts it, “we are not going to be
able to predict the skills that people will need in 20 years”. Yong Zhao, director
of the University of Oregon’s Institute for Global and Online Education, agrees,
adding that skills are also highly context-dependent and multifaceted. Levels of
creativity, for example, depend heavily on the area in which an individual is
seeking to be creative and may require the acquisition of a substantial level of
knowledge in that field, as much as an ability to approach problems in a certain
way.
Another substantial issue when considering which skills will be valuable in the
future is deciding who will be assigning that value. As Mr Zhao points out, the
parents of a student in a developing country might value skills that their child
can exploit in the global digital economy; the government of that country might
instead prefer skills that help the national economy industrialise; and the child
might well prioritise skills that facilitate artistic expression. Nor are these
wishes necessarily immutable. Svava Bjarnason, senior education specialist at the
World Bank’s International Finance Corporation, notes: “It is very difficult to
suppose what any one country might have aspirations for, even over the next decade.
If you look at aspirations in the Middle East compared with three years ago, how
would you judge the right skill mix [for the future]?”
Bearing such constraints in mind, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) embarked on
a research programme, sponsored by Google, to examine to what extent the skills
taught in education systems around the world are changing. For example, are
so-called 21st-century skills, such as leadership, digital literacy, problem
solving and communication, complementing traditional skills such as reading,
writing and arithmetic? And do they meet the needs of employers and society more
widely?
To investigate these issues, The EIU convened an advisory board meeting of
education experts and conducted a series of in-depth interviews. In addition to
comments from the advisory board and the interviews, this report draws on data from
global surveys of senior business executives, teachers and two groups of students,
aged 11 to 17 and 18 to 25. The key findings are listed below.