Data from the report: Climate Change in the United States: Benefits of Global Action,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
www.epa.gov/cira ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
CIRA Framework: Uncertainty,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Figure 5. Climate Model Uncertainty for Future Projections,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Changes in temperature and precipitation in 2100 (2091-2110 mean) relative to present-day (1991-2010 mean) for different climate models. Values assume a climate sensitivity of 3°C under the Reference scenario.,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
BCCR - Temperature,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.98,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,3.89,4.61,4.89,5.04,5.04,5.03,5.02,5.07,5.29,5.55,5.63,5.71,5.84,5.78,5.28,4.68,4.86,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.02,4.64
46,3.86,4.72,5.17,5.32,5.21,5.04,4.97,5.02,5.12,5.32,5.48,5.69,5.92,5.88,5.17,4.31,4.7,5.53,-999,-999,-999,5.29,4.89,4.5
44,4.15,4.91,5.33,5.41,5.24,5.04,4.98,5.04,5.02,5.07,5.3,5.66,5.96,5.96,5.59,5.17,5.37,5.83,5.96,5.85,5.59,5.17,4.7,4.37
42,4.27,4.85,5.19,5.24,5.13,4.99,4.93,4.93,4.87,4.88,5.08,5.44,5.73,5.84,5.84,5.81,5.8,5.84,5.82,5.61,5.26,4.87,4.49,-999
40,4.16,4.63,4.96,5.03,5.02,5,4.96,4.88,4.86,4.95,5.07,5.3,5.5,5.65,5.75,5.75,5.7,5.64,5.48,5.2,4.9,4.62,-999,-999
37,-999,4.43,4.79,4.95,5.05,5.08,5.06,4.95,4.95,5.1,5.21,5.31,5.38,5.46,5.57,5.58,5.5,5.41,5.22,4.91,4.66,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,4.25,4.6,4.9,5.07,5.07,5.01,4.97,5.03,5.19,5.31,5.34,5.31,5.35,5.47,5.46,5.33,5.22,5.05,4.75,4.55,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,4.47,4.77,4.96,4.98,4.89,4.86,4.94,5.07,5.2,5.22,5.16,5.17,5.23,5.21,5.1,5.01,4.87,4.65,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,4.63,4.86,4.96,4.88,4.81,4.82,4.88,5,5.04,4.97,4.92,4.91,4.89,4.87,4.84,4.71,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.75,4.78,4.82,4.84,4.77,4.68,4.66,4.66,4.69,4.71,4.63,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.75,4.7,4.59,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.64,4.58,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.7,4.62,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.56,4.52,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
CCSM - Temperature,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.37,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,3.44,4,4.47,4.76,4.84,4.79,4.64,4.59,4.68,4.84,5.02,5.16,5.18,5.2,5.23,5.28,5.42,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.61,5.58
46,3.14,3.7,4.26,4.63,4.9,4.95,4.76,4.62,4.61,4.72,4.87,5,5.1,5.14,5.13,5.12,5.19,5.24,-999,-999,-999,5.26,5.25,5.21
44,3.2,3.81,4.4,4.81,5.19,5.29,5.12,4.85,4.61,4.6,4.72,4.87,5.01,5.11,5.1,5.04,5.06,5.09,5.07,5.06,5.05,5,4.85,4.69
42,3.44,4.09,4.67,5.04,5.35,5.5,5.54,5.29,4.85,4.71,4.82,4.94,5.02,5.08,5.11,5.05,5.01,4.99,4.95,4.95,4.89,4.73,4.46,-999
40,3.59,4.2,4.77,5.04,5.25,5.47,5.72,5.6,5.16,5,5.08,5.16,5.19,5.19,5.18,5.11,5.01,4.92,4.85,4.84,4.68,4.37,-999,-999
37,-999,4.09,4.67,4.98,5.21,5.42,5.7,5.66,5.32,5.16,5.2,5.24,5.23,5.18,5.12,5.03,4.91,4.77,4.71,4.68,4.37,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,3.82,4.43,4.98,5.27,5.43,5.63,5.67,5.49,5.37,5.38,5.39,5.34,5.22,5.11,5.01,4.88,4.76,4.72,4.55,4.15,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,4.11,4.74,5.19,5.35,5.43,5.45,5.43,5.4,5.38,5.35,5.24,5.12,5.03,4.93,4.83,4.75,4.63,4.38,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,4.33,4.83,5.06,5.15,5.2,5.21,5.18,5.13,5.07,4.94,4.84,4.79,4.73,4.69,4.62,4.45,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.07,5.01,4.94,4.85,4.73,4.66,4.62,4.58,4.56,4.52,4.41,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.8,4.7,4.61,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.49,4.44,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.78,4.66,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.46,4.42,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
MIROC - Temperature,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,6.62,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,3.16,3.8,4.57,5.14,5.44,5.77,5.98,6.09,6.18,6.28,6.4,6.56,6.67,6.69,6.63,6.52,6.41,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,6.76,6.23
46,2.95,3.51,4.41,5.25,5.69,6,6.2,6.32,6.35,6.32,6.35,6.47,6.62,6.73,6.74,6.65,6.47,6.35,-999,-999,-999,6.19,5.88,5.4
44,2.97,3.52,4.5,5.59,6.19,6.39,6.47,6.51,6.43,6.29,6.23,6.33,6.47,6.57,6.57,6.45,6.26,6.09,5.99,5.85,5.65,5.35,4.97,4.62
42,3.13,3.7,4.7,5.81,6.52,6.67,6.61,6.5,6.3,6.08,6,6.09,6.2,6.27,6.23,6.06,5.81,5.6,5.46,5.31,5.06,4.73,4.41,-999
40,3.23,3.88,4.8,5.72,6.48,6.81,6.8,6.59,6.28,6.06,6.01,6.11,6.23,6.31,6.24,5.96,5.58,5.29,5.09,4.9,4.64,4.35,-999,-999
37,-999,3.98,4.72,5.46,6.21,6.7,6.82,6.62,6.31,6.14,6.14,6.27,6.44,6.58,6.49,6.11,5.6,5.22,4.97,4.64,4.26,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,4.07,4.61,5.23,5.82,6.24,6.43,6.38,6.24,6.16,6.2,6.33,6.63,6.86,6.76,6.38,5.76,5.35,5.03,4.45,3.98,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,4.44,4.94,5.43,5.8,6.01,6.08,6.08,6.06,6.09,6.16,6.41,6.61,6.51,6.28,5.89,5.55,5,4.24,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,4.57,5,5.4,5.67,5.8,5.83,5.81,5.78,5.74,5.72,5.72,5.64,5.58,5.58,5.43,4.77,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.48,5.46,5.4,5.28,5.1,4.92,4.82,4.81,4.88,4.92,4.55,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.16,4.96,4.73,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.53,4.4,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.07,4.81,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.44,4.37,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
MULTIMODEL-MEAN - Temperature,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,6.48,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,3.65,4.44,5.01,5.27,5.34,5.46,5.54,5.63,5.78,5.98,6.18,6.3,6.31,6.31,6.34,6.35,6.42,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,6.43,6.2
46,3.29,4.15,4.91,5.29,5.43,5.49,5.53,5.6,5.64,5.77,5.97,6.15,6.22,6.23,6.17,6.05,6.07,6.21,-999,-999,-999,6.24,6.06,5.79
44,3.28,4.23,5.02,5.5,5.74,5.77,5.75,5.72,5.65,5.67,5.85,6.09,6.24,6.28,6.19,6.08,6.05,6.1,6.14,6.12,6.07,5.89,5.51,5.07
42,3.37,4.39,5.19,5.7,5.99,6.05,6.01,5.92,5.79,5.77,5.91,6.13,6.24,6.27,6.24,6.15,6.05,5.99,5.96,5.9,5.72,5.33,4.77,-999
40,3.4,4.34,5.17,5.64,5.93,6.08,6.11,5.98,5.86,5.92,6.05,6.19,6.21,6.18,6.12,5.99,5.83,5.73,5.65,5.52,5.17,4.6,-999,-999
37,-999,4.05,4.93,5.5,5.84,6.04,6.14,6.02,5.94,6.05,6.16,6.21,6.17,6.06,5.93,5.76,5.57,5.42,5.32,5.08,4.56,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,3.79,4.58,5.27,5.66,5.82,5.93,5.94,5.95,6.03,6.09,6.07,5.95,5.81,5.68,5.5,5.29,5.13,5.03,4.7,4.17,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,4.17,4.85,5.35,5.56,5.64,5.72,5.8,5.85,5.84,5.76,5.6,5.45,5.33,5.16,5.01,4.88,4.68,4.33,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,4.46,5.04,5.36,5.45,5.51,5.56,5.58,5.53,5.41,5.25,5.11,4.98,4.87,4.78,4.68,4.41,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5.27,5.26,5.19,5.03,4.86,4.73,4.65,4.6,4.58,4.53,4.35,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,5,4.82,4.61,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.46,4.35,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.92,4.71,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,4.38,4.32,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
BCCR - Precipitation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.11,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,1.21,0.95,0.62,0.42,0.28,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.07,0,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.33,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.37,0.41
46,1.13,1,0.64,0.47,0.35,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.66,-999,-999,-999,0.57,0.55,0.56
44,0.77,0.68,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49
42,0.56,0.48,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.35,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.4,-999
40,0.42,0.4,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.32,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,-999,-999
37,-999,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.23,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.19,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.02,0.01,0.09,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.04,-0.02,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.17,-0.09,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.05,-0.05,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
CCSM - Precipitation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.37,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.63,0.56
46,0.57,0.55,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,-999,-999,-999,0.82,0.78,0.78
44,0.3,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.67
42,0.12,0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,-999
40,0.07,-0.04,-0.11,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,-999,-999
37,-999,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.27,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.44,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,0.18,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.4,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,0.11,0.2,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.17,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.2,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
28,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0,0.18,0.35,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.15,0.07,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
26,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.05,0.13,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.02,-0.18,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
MIROC - Precipitation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
,-125,-122.5,-120,-117.5,-115,-112.5,-110,-107.5,-105,-102.5,-100,-97.5,-95,-92.5,-90,-87.5,-85,-82.5,-80,-77.5,-75,-72.5,-70,-67.5
50,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.11,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
48,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.45,0.45
46,0.53,0.52,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.24,-999,-999,-999,0.47,0.56,0.59
44,0.19,0.2,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.09,0,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.53
42,-0.02,-0.04,-0.15,-0.09,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.15,-0.21,-0.2,-0.14,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.4,-999
40,-0.1,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.27,-0.21,-0.13,-0.06,0,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,-999,-999
37,-999,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.26,-0.3,-0.27,-0.17,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.33,-999,-999,-999
36,-999,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.34,-0.31,-0.21,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.15,-999,-999,-999
34,-999,-999,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.27,-0.31,-0.37,-0.34,-0.24,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-999,-999,-999,-999
32,-999,-999,-999,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.29,-0.35,-0.34,-0.26,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27,-0.31,-0.38,-0.46,-0.52,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
29,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23,-0.2,-0.21,-0.27,-0.36,-0.47,-0.56,-0.6,-0.64,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999
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MULTIMODEL-MEAN - Precipitation,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
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48,0.73,0.57,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,-999,-999,-999,-999,-999,0.67,0.63
46,0.73,0.65,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.72,-999,-999,-999,0.78,0.79,0.73
44,0.51,0.45,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.47,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.6
42,0.4,0.34,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,-999
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