Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Senior Fellow
Awards and Honors:
American Academy of Arts and Sciences
Biography: 

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Silver Professor of Politics at New York University (NYU).

An expert on foreign policy and nation building, his current research focuses on political institutions, economic growth, and political change. He is also known for his research on policy forecasting for national security and for business concerns.

His most recent books include The Dictator’s Handbook: Why Bad Behavior Is Almost Always Good Politics (Public Affairs Press, 2011); The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future (Random House, Inc., 2009); The Strategy of Campaigning, with Kiron Skinner, Sirhey Kudelia, and Condoleezza Rice (University of Michigan Press, 2007); and The Logic of Political Survival, with Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson, and James D. Morrow (MIT Press, 2003). He is the author of twelve other books, numerous policy pieces, and more than 120 academic articles. He has been profiled in the Sunday New York Times Magazine, the Wall Street Journal, and the Economist Magazine. Foreign Policy magazine has recognized him as one of the top one hundred global thinkers.

Bueno de Mesquita is a former Guggenheim Fellow and in 2001–2 was president of the International Studies Association. He is an elected member of the Council on Foreign Relations and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. In 1999, he received an honorary doctorate from the University of Groningen, the Netherlands. Queens College in New York recognized him in 1998 as one of its one hundred "alumni stars." From 1983 to 1986, he was chairman of the Department of Political Science at the University of Rochester; from 2002 to 2006 he chaired the Politics Department at NYU. He currently directs the Alexander Hamilton Center for Political Economy. He has been a visiting professor at Yale University, Cornell University, University of California at Berkeley, and NYU.

Bueno de Mesquita received his BA degree in 1967 from Queens College, City University of New York (CUNY); his MA degree in political science in 1968 from the University of Michigan; and his PhD degree in political science in 1971 from the University of Michigan.

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Recent Commentary

Analysis and Commentary

How Tyrants Endure

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Alastair Smithvia New York Times
Friday, June 10, 2011

Wealthy dictators can ward off revolution; poorer ones will have no choice but to democratize...

Analysis and Commentary

Can cash buy Mideast peace? Israeli-Palestian talks should create incentives for good behavior

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Daily News (NY)
Sunday, September 5, 2010

With Mideast peace talks again raising hopes and suspicions, the question of how to resolve the world's most intractable conflict raises its bedraggled head once more...

Can cash buy Mideast peace? Israeli-Palestinian talks should create incentives for good behavior

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Advancing a Free Society
Sunday, September 5, 2010

With Mideast peace talks again raising hopes and suspicions, the question of how to resolve the world's most intractable conflict raises its bedraggled head once more.

The Predictioneer’s Game

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Michael Krasnyvia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Putting numbers to the news, Hoover fellow Bruce Bueno de Mesquita lays his bets on issues such as climate change and Middle East peace.

The Predictioneer’s Game

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Advancing a Free Society
Thursday, April 15, 2010

By Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Michael Krasny

Putting numbers to the news, Hoover fellow Bruce Bueno de Mesquita lays his bets on issues such as climate change and Middle East peace.

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Changing the Game

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, July 1, 2009

A game theorist looks at Iran’s intentions—and where its nuclear program is heading. By Bruce Bueno de Mesquita.

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It All Adds Up

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Michael A. M. Lernervia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Game theory is no game. The work of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. By Michael A. M. Lerner.

The Strategy of Campaigning

by Kiron K. Skinner, Serhiy Kudelia, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Condoleezza Ricevia Hoover Digest
Wednesday, January 16, 2008

How Ronald Reagan outmaneuvered Jimmy Carter. By Kiron K. Skinner, Serhiy Kudelia, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, and Condoleezza Rice.

Analysis and Commentary

Politics Starts at the Water’s Edge

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Kiron K. Skinner, Condoleezza Ricevia New York Times
Saturday, September 15, 2007

It is rare for world leaders to be selected on the basis of their foreign policy acumen or experience...

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Development and Democracy

by Bruce Bueno de Mesquitavia Hoover Digest
Sunday, October 30, 2005

Economic growth and democracy don’t always go hand in hand. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and George W. Downs explain why.

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