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Football predictions: Stanford vs. UCF
With the season-ending injury of Harrison Phillips, the Cardinal may have to move around some players as they figure out who should replace Phillips in the rotation. One of the defense's options is Luke Kaumatule (right), a linebacker, who saw action in all 13 games last season. (BOB DREBIN/stanfordphoto.com)

Football predictions: Stanford vs. UCF

Stanford (0-1, 0-0 Pac-12) vs. UCF (0-1, 0-0 American)

Michael Peterson: Stanford 20, UCF 16

Let me take you back to last week’s predictions, when I declared “Count me as a believer in the Stanford offense this season; the unit has too many weapons not to put points on the board against the Wildcats.” Safe to say, I was very wrong. I still believe the offense has a lot of weapons; however, I’m not as confident with their fit into the scheme as I was last week, and it’s going to take some serious fireworks before I jump back onto the offense’s bandwagon. If UCF had shown a semblance of an ability to score last week against FIU, I might have picked them here. I have a hard time projecting Stanford to beat UCF -– a team with four nine-win seasons in the last five years -– by much, given how poorly the Cardinal offense played last Saturday, even taking into account UCF’s atrocious home loss to FIU. The offense gets just enough done, and UCF’s lack of a running game allows the defense to focus on the passing game and slow down the Knights’ offense.

Do-Hyoung Park: Stanford 13, UCF 9

Mark my words: This game is going to be really, really ugly. I fully believe that Stanford’s offense will pick up the pieces at some point this season, but it won’t be in this game. UCF has one of the most low-key strong defenses in the country, and although the Knights lose their entire starting secondary from last season, they return a strong, experienced defensive front that will likely limit Stanford’s success on the ground and pressure Hogan and the offensive line into making mistakes. Luckily for the Cardinal, UCF’s running game is nonexistent (30 rushes for 46 yards against Florida International!!!) and Stanford’s defense should be able to pretty easily shut down UCF’s one-dimensional attack. The difference in this game is a full four quarters of Michael Rector, who will allow Stanford to stretch the field in its passing game.

Winston Shi: Stanford 16, UCF 13

If we’re going to freak out over one game, Stanford’s loss to Northwestern is easily matched by UCF’s loss to Florida International. Besides, 90 percent of college football games come down to talent and Stanford just has more of it.

But I don’t think Stanford’s going to come out with an emphatic victory because of its defensive line, which just lost Harrison Phillips to ACL surgery. Guess what that means. It means that Stanford has a grand total of … four … defensive linemen on the two-deep. Stanford might have recruited gobs of talent but if it can’t stay on the field, well … when Phillips got banged up during the Northwestern game, the Wildcats ran all over the winded Cardinal front. Yes, depth charts don’t always tell the whole story. But four defensive linemen for an entire college football season isn’t just bad. It’s the Human Centipede of depth chart disasters. One more major injury on the defensive line and Stanford will be lucky to win six games this season. I wish I were kidding.

Vihan Lakshman: Stanford 27, UCF 13

I’m going to go against the grain here and say that Stanford reignites the offense against UCF and wins by two touchdowns. The Knights have a lot of talent at key positions, including quarterback, defensive line and receiver, so I could easily see them making life difficult for the Cardinal and even pulling this game out; however, Stanford has consistently shown the ability to bounce back from befuddling road losses with strong home performances (outside of last year’s Utah game), and I expect this team to come out with a sense of urgency and focus that was noticeably lacking in the season opener. Winston’s point about the lack of defensive line depth is very true, but Stanford should be able to overcome any deficiencies up front against a UCF running game that managed just 46 yards against Florida International. The return of Michael Rector and Devon Cajuste to the starting lineup should put the UCF secondary on its heels early and help the Cardinal rebound from a disastrous week one performance.

Andrew Mather: Stanford 31, UCF 21

After seeing what happened when this panel unanimously picked Stanford to win last week, it makes me a little queasy to jump right back on the bandwagon and presume the Cardinal dispatch this UCF team with ease. However, while it’s one thing to lose to a middleweight Power 5 team on the road, it would be quite another level of embarrassment for Stanford to drop just its fourth home game in five years to an opponent that opened its season with a loss to Florida International. Call me stubborn, but my expectations for the Cardinal to cruise to victory in this game are unchanged.

The Stanford offense should be desperate to prove that it does know how to score points after last week’s dismal offensive showing, so I would think this one might open up a little more than we’re used to in the David Shaw era. The team should try a little harder to avoid settling for field goals, and Kevin Hogan’s passing game may look a little more confident since he’ll have the chance to establish some chemistry with his typical targets of Michael Rector and Devon Cajuste right from the get-go. I expect the offensive line to acquit itself better than it did in Evanston as well and don’t think that the group will concede more than one sack against the Knights’ experienced pass rush.

Don’t count on UCF to roll right over –- they’re a well-coached team that knows how to bounce back from difficult losses –- but ultimately there is still no reason that the Cardinal shouldn’t come away from this matchup with a solid win.

About The Daily Sports Staff

The Daily Sports Staff is the collective moniker of an overworked, beleaguered, underpaid collection of sportswriters that feel comfortable enough with their own self-identities to give up any sense of individualism for the good of the sports section. To contact The Daily Sports Staff, send an email to dpark027 'at' stanford.edu to reach Do-Hyoung Park or to jwallach 'at' stanford.edu to reach Jordan Wallach, keepers of the souls of those sportswriters.
  • ADPaterson

    Vihan has it right. And I expect the Defense to contribute a TD.
    If this game is close, then a bowl invite is in jeopardy — we have the 9th toughest sched in USA. Our Offensive line will be the diff on Sat. More 3rd down conversions than 3 of 15.

  • ADPaterson

    Spreads are posted…
    Stanford favored by 18 over UCF in home opener, that’s 6 field goals — three games-full of production! We want to see a track meet, Guys!
    [Graveyard shift on FS1 at 10:30pm ET], while #7 Oregon @ #5 MIST grabs marquee billing on ABC, 8pm ET.
    Other than UCLA, with AZST getting doused by TXAM last week, and OHST looking better on Monday nite than Browns or Bengals, Pac12 desparately needs a Duck win.
    Bruin QB Rosen fires as good as Luck; Cavaliers looked like a shooting gallery last week. Pundits are bumping TCU or Baylor out and moving UCLA up to “Playoff bound”. USC in the way.

  • DL

    You guys lose one game then wimp out and get scared…. UCF is nothing, it should be Stanford by at least 40

  • maddogsfavsnpiks

    So, since the current line is fluctuating around -18/-19, basically all y’all Stanford student journalists are bettin’ on UCF to win in Reno/Vegas/offshore/ and or with your local neighborhood book.. for shame !
    * * *
    Stanford 37 UCF 13, but mark my words, without a power back (and McCaffery is NOT a powerback) Stanford will not win the PAC.. Therefore, it’s time to burn Cameron Scarlett’s redshirt.

  • Candid One

    Wonder how this speculation would be different if anyone knew that Shaw had decided to burn Bryce Love’s redshirt?

  • Candid One

    In the 2013 AP final rankings, Stanford finished #11…UCF finished #10. Both teams had down–but not dismal–2014 seasons. If the UCF starting QB doesn’t break a finger on his throwing hand (see Andrew Luck’s similar fate in 2009), Stanford may have had a tighter contest.

  • Candid One

    In a recent interview of Brennan Scarlett, he expressed expectation that Cameron is redshirting this year.

    In a 9/15/15 (Tues.) post-practice interview, David Shaw spoke generally about redshirt decisions; he said that the 4th game is the traditional finalization of redshirt status. He also cited last season’s injury-related midseason burning of the Harrison Phillips redshirt after losses of Shittu and Parry. Stuff happens…or it doesn’t.

  • maddogsfavsnpiks

    Hey, Candide, thanks for the info, altho it’s not the info i was hoping for..
    * * *
    But, anywaze, now it’s time to tally up last week’s results against the spread which closed around Stanford, -18;
    Actual Score : Stanford 31, UCF 7. Stanford wins by 24.
    Predictions and Results,
    Winston Shi : Stanford 16-13, 0-1; maddog : 37-13, 1-0
    Do-Hyoung Park : Stanford 13-9, 0-1; maddog : 37-13, 1-0
    Michael Peterson : Stanford 20-16, 0-1; maddog : 37-13, 1-0
    Andrew Mather : Stanford 31-20, 0-1; maddog : 37-13; 1-0
    Vihan Lakshman : Stanford 27-13, 0-1; maddog : 37-13; 1-0,
    maddog 5, Stanford Daily 0.
    (It’s not often one predicts the exact margin of victory, so i get credit for 5 victories, mm’k ?)
    * * *
    BTW. Have you noticed nearly all the bloggers around these parts, whether it’s here at the Daily, on Wilner’s Hotline, or at the Rule of Tree, they think Shaw suddenly went from being the developer of one of the best, most dynamic qbs ever; AND from being an OC who oversaw/engineered one of the most dramatic offensive turn-arounds, all-time, in the history of college football; inheriting a team that scored 10.6 ppg in ’06, and by ’11 they were scoring 43.2 ppg !!; AND from being one of the most sought after coaches for the pros …and yet suddenly David Shaw has now become the All-time Scrooge, the Grinch of College football play-callers on offense ? Hah !
    * * *
    Gimme a freakin’ break already, i’m fed up with these so-called Stanford fans and their infernal expectations, their lofty airs of entitlement… as if Northwestern under Fitzgerald has not historically been a very, very good defensive squad, AND as if the heat, humidity and time adjustment weren’t key factors in the Cardinal sluggishness in Evanston…
    — No, no.. it’s Shaw, he’s too “bland” for us… ” Open up the Playbook !” “Run McCaffery wide !”, “Start some freshmen !”.. “Don’t be so predictable !”, “Do this..! do that..!” ohhh the incessant refrain of complaints from the Easy-Boy Recliner section…! Psshaw on all of ‘m… just a bunch of weenies ! ..Really!.. they belong over in the east bay cheerin’ for the rootin’, tootin’ Pooh Bares..
    * * *
    Furthermore, one of the worst, most despicable offenders of all, that I’ve ever observed, is the clueless, know-it-all Rollins.. Sheesh that guy’s out to lunch, and prob’ly pathological, really, sick in the head, gnome sayn’ ?
    Maybe taking pride for his part in the killing of 2-4 million human beings will do that ?