The Arabist Network
March 25, 2010
Hosni Mubarak has been president of Egypt since the assassination of Anwar el-Sadat on Oct. 16, 1981. His tenure is the longest of any Egyptian president since the ouster of the king in the 1950s -- longer than that of Gamal Abdel Nasser, a pioneer of Arab nationalism, and longer than that of Mr. Sadat, who was slain after making peace with Israel.
In the wake of Mr. Sadat's death, Mr. Mubarak continued a policy of maintaining ties with Israel, and cracked down on Islamic militants. His support for Israel won him the support of the West and a continuation of hefty annual aid from the United States. The crackdown on the Islamic Brotherhood forced the militants underground, but as Mr. Mubarak steadily reduced the room for legitimate political dissent, a once-largely secular society has become increasingly Islamicized.
Mr. Mubarak is routinely referred to as Egypt's modern pharaoh, though usually in a cautious whisper. Government critics are routinely jailed and freedom of expression and assembly are restricted. As he prepared to visit Cairo in June 2009, President Obama signaled that while he would mention American concerns about human rights in Egypt, he would not challenge Mr. Mubarak too sharply, calling him a "force for stability and good" in the Middle East. Mr. Obama said he did not regard Mr. Mubarak as an authoritarian leader.
Egypt has long been a leader of the Arab world, and Mr. Mubarak, has successfully negotiated the complicated issues of regional security, solidifying a relationship with Washington, maintaining cool but correct ties with Israel and sharply suppressing Islamic fundamentalism and terrorism. But this is a difficult balancing act. Egypt has an important Islamic opposition that can create significant domestic unrest. When Israel carried out large-scale military operations in Gaza in late 2008 and early 2009, Egypt was charged with being complicit in Palestinian deaths.
Mr. Mubarak, 81, has held office for nearly 28 years, and his allies have suggested that he is likely to serve another five-year term when his current one expires in 2011. But his increasing frailty, his government's crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood and persistent reports in the state-controlled news media about plans to dissolve Parliament have combined to provoke a bout of speculation as to whether Mr. Mubarak might step down and who might replace him. He has never appointed a vice president. If he dies in office, then the speaker of the Parliament, a veteran party leader, Fathi Sorour, would serve as an interim president until an election could be called. Egypt is a democracy, but politics and elections are controlled by the government and the ruling party, and in the absence of any true opposition, the party's candidate is certain to win.
Early in 2010 Mr. Mubarak, temporarily turned over presidential authority to his prime minister, Ahmed Nazif, before an operation to remove his gallbladder at the Surgical Hospital of Heidelberg University Hospital.
Mr. Mubarak’s sudden surgery came amid an already fevered discussion taking place in Egypt over the issue of succession. Mr. Mubarak’s term expires next year, leading to speculation as to whether he will retain control for another term in office, or whether his National Democratic Party will endorse his son, Gamal, for the post, or someone else.
Still, what was most extraordinary about the news of the president’s treatment was that it was made public at all, leaving many Egyptians surprised to see the news on television and in the morning papers. It was just in 2008, after all, that the state sentenced a popular newspaper editor to prison for articles reporting that the president was ill, though the editor was eventually pardoned.
But the government and its supporters point to the public revelation saying that it was evidence the state was trying to become more transparent and leave behind its history of treating news of the president’s health as a state secret. In recent months, amid preparations for upcoming parliamentary elections in the fall, the government has become more active in trying to get its message out on many issues.
Washington has vested its interests in Mr. Mubarak, while directing most of its aid dollars to the Egyptian military. Mr. Mubarak has not always been the perfect ally, but American officials say that he is invaluable for his historical perspective and the importance he places on the relationship with the United States and peace with Israel. An American official in Egypt said the hope was that Mr. Mubarak's ultimate replacement would be someone who maintains the same historical appreciation for peace and relations with Washington.
The issue of succession is so delicate that Egypt’s government threatened to imprison an editor after his newspaper ran stories that the Egyptian president was ill.
November 1, 2007worldNewsWhile Egypt has not yet shaken off decades of one-man rule, the streets were calm and protesters were allowed to block city traffic.
September 8, 2005NewsPresident Hosni Mubarak’s recuperation from gallbladder surgery has eased some anxiety where before uncertainty fueled rumors that he was seriously ill, or even dead.
March 23, 2010President Hosni Mubarak appeared on state television talking with his doctors — his first appearance since an operation in Germany 10 days earlier.
March 17, 2010The government and its supporters point to the public revelation about President Hosni Mubarak’s gallbladder operation as evidence that the state is trying to become more transparent.
March 7, 2010It is not clear if Mohamed ElBaradei, the former chief international nuclear watchdog, will run for president, but it is clear that he returned home to shake up President Hosni Mubarak’s decades-long hold on power.
March 1, 2010A game lost to Algeria has laid bare a nation struggling to deal with its diminished standing off the field.
December 10, 2009The candidacy of Farouk Hosny of Egypt, who has been accused of censorship and anti-Semitism, has sparked fierce opposition among Jewish organizations and civil libertarians.
September 22, 2009When the government killed the pigs in Egypt in an attempt to combat swine flu, it was warned that Cairo would be overwhelmed with trash. Now, it is.
September 20, 2009Speaking after a meeting with President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, President Obama said Israel was moving in the right direction on settlements.
August 19, 2009In White House meetings beginning Monday, President Obama is expected to look to President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt for help in breaking the latest Middle East deadlock, analysts said.
August 17, 2009President Hosni Mubarak’s recent frailty has fueled speculation as to whether the Egyptian leader will step down.
July 10, 2009The president, who is starting a visit to the Middle East on Wednesday, is expected to press for a gesture to Israel, but Arab states believe they have made enough concessions, Saudi officials and political experts say.
June 3, 2009Does a presidential visit endorse the oppressive government in Egypt?
June 3, 2009In Europe, idealism and realpolitik fit easily into one package. But President Obama will face a new challenge speaking in Egypt, where people feel crushed by the state.
May 31, 2009Israel’s security cabinet voted Wednesday to make the opening of Israel’s border crossings with Gaza conditional on the release of an Israeli soldier held by Hamas.
February 19, 2009Public opinions and governments in the Arab world, particularly Egypt, are at odds over the war.
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