trump-approval-ratings | How Popular Is Donald Trump? | | info | |
polls | Latest Polls | | info | |
covid-19-polls | How Americans View The Coronavirus Crisis And Trump's Response | | info | |
soccer-spi | Club Soccer Predictions | | info | |
election-forecasts-2020 | 2020 Election Forecast | | info | |
congress-generic-ballot | Are Democrats Or Republicans Winning The Race For Congress? | | info | |
sports-political-donations | Inside The Political Donation History Of Wealthy Sports Owners | | info | |
mlb-elo | 2020 MLB Predictions | | info | |
congress-trump-score | Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump | | info | |
non-voters | Why Millions Of Americans Don’t Vote | | info | |
nba-raptor | The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR | | info | |
nba-forecasts | 2019-20 NBA Predictions | | info | |
voter-registration | Voter Registrations Are Way, Way Down During The Pandemic | | info | |
WNBA-stats | It’s Time To Give Basketball’s Other GOAT Her Due | | info | |
pollster-ratings | We’ve Updated Our Pollster Ratings Ahead Of The 2020 General Election | | info | |
Pollster Ratings | |
The State Of The Polls, 2019 | |
The Polls Are All Right | |
The State Of The Polls, 2016 | |
How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings | |
covid-geography | How One High-Risk Community In Rural South Carolina Is Bracing For COVID-19 | | info | |
urbanization-index | How Urban Or Rural Is Your State? And What Does That Mean For The 2020 Election? | | info | |
endorsements | The 2020 Endorsement Primary | | info | |
nba-player-advanced-metrics | Luka Dončić And The Mavs Are Pushing The Limits Of Offensive Efficiency | | info | |
impeachment-polls | Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump? | | info | |
nfl-elo-game | Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts? | | info | |
nfl-elo | 2019 NFL Predictions | | info | |
presidential-candidate-favorables-2019 | The Democratic Presidential Candidates Are Becoming Less Popular | | info | |
media-mentions-2020 | The Media Frenzy Around Biden Is Fading | | info | |
nba-raptor | Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA | | info | |
How Our RAPTOR Metric Works | |
fight-songs | Our Guide To The Exuberant Nonsense Of College Fight Songs | | info | |
riddler-castles | A Peaceful (But Not Peaceful) Transition Of Power In Riddler Nation | | info | |
Are You The Best Warlord? | |
The Battle For Riddler Nation, Round 2 | |
Can You Rule Riddler Nation? | |
foul-balls | We Watched 906 Foul Balls To Find Out Where The Most Dangerous Ones Land | | info | |
candidate-emails | What Our Inbox Tells Us About How Democrats Are Tackling Trump | | info | |
nba-draymond | A Better Way To Evaluate NBA Defense | | info | |
womens-world-cup-2019 | 2019 Women's World Cup Predictions | | info | |
checking-our-work-data | How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? | | info | |
state-of-the-state | The State Of The State Of The States | | info | |
Which 2020 Candidates Have The Most In Common … On Twitter? | | info | |
trump-lawsuits | Will Trump’s Latest Lawsuits Keep Congress From Investigating Future Presidents? | | info | |
Trump Is Losing The Legal Fight Against Sanctuary Cities, But It May Still Pay Off Politically | |
Should Judges Pay Attention To Trump’s Tweets? | |
Why One of Trump’s Biggest Legal Threats Is New York’s Attorney General | |
Will The Supreme Court Fast-Track Cases Involving Trump? | |
Why It Might Be Impossible To Overturn A Presidential Pardon | |
What Trump’s Legal Battles Tell Us About Presidential Power | |
mueller-polls | Both Parties Think The Mueller Report Was Fair. They Just Completely Disagree On What It Says. | | info | |
russia-investigation | Is The Russia Investigation Really Another Watergate? | | info | |
ncaa-womens-basketball-tournament | The Rise And Fall of Women’s College Basketball Dynasties | | info | |
cabinet-turnover | Two Years In, Turnover In Trump’s Cabinet Is Still Historically High | | info | |
forecast-review | How FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did | | info | |
house-forecast-2018 | 2018 House Forecast | | info | |
partisan-lean | 2018 House Forecast | | info | |
2018 Senate Forecast | |
2018 Governors Forecast | |
senate-forecast-2018 | 2018 Senate Forecast | | info | |
governors-forecast-2018 | 2018 Governors Forecast | | info | |
actblue-analysis | How ActBlue Is Trying To Turn Small Donations Into A Blue Wave | | info | |
primary-candidates-2018 | We Looked At Hundreds Of Endorsements. Here’s Who Republicans Are Listening To. | | info | |
We Looked At Hundreds Of Endorsements. Here’s Who Democrats Are Listening To. | |
We Researched Hundreds Of Races. Here’s Who Democrats Are Nominating. | |
political-elasticity-scores | Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts | | info | |
august-senate-polls | How Much Trouble Is Ted Cruz Really In? | | info | |
Why We’re Sharing 3 Million Russian Troll Tweets | | info | |
world-cup-comparisons | 50 Years Of World Cup Doppelgangers | | info | |
world-cup-2018 | 2018 World Cup Predictions | | info | |
lebron | The LeBron James Decision-Making Machine | | info | |
masculinity-survey | What Do Men Think It Means To Be A Man? | | info | |
march-madness-predictions-2018 | 2018 March Madness Predictions | | info | |
special-elections | Be Skeptical Of Anyone Who Tells You They Know How Democrats Can Win In November | | info | |
poll-quiz-guns | Do You Know Where America Stands On Guns? | | info | |
reluctant-trump | The Economy Is Keeping ‘Reluctant’ Trump Voters With Him | | info | |
Trump’s Reluctant Voters Are Getting More Reluctant | |
How Trump’s Least Enthusiastic Voters Feel About Him Now | |
‘Reluctant’ Trump Voters Swung The Election. Here’s How They Think He’s Doing. | |
rare-pepes | People Are Paying Thousands Of Dollars To Own Pictures Of Pepe The Frog | | info | |
congress-resignations | We’ve Never Seen Congressional Resignations Like This Before | | info | |
redistricting-atlas-data | The Atlas Of Redistricting | | info | |
next-bechdel | Creating The Next Bechdel Test | | info | |
goose | Kenley Jansen Is The Model Of A Modern Reliever | | info | |
The Save Ruined Relief Pitching. The Goose Egg Can Fix It. | |
candy-power-ranking | The Ultimate Halloween Candy Power Ranking | | info | |
The Worst Tweeter In Politics Isn’t Trump | | info | |
puerto-rico-media | The Media Really Started Paying Attention To Puerto Rico When Trump Did | | info | |
The Media Really Has Neglected Puerto Rico | |
nfl-fandom | How Every NFL Team’s Fans Lean Politically | | info | |
sandy-311-calls | The (Very) Long Tail Of Hurricane Recovery | | info | |
trump-world-trust | What The World Thinks Of Trump | | info | |
inconvenient-sequel | Al Gore’s New Movie Exposes The Big Flaw In Online Movie Ratings | | info | |
mayweather-mcgregor | The Mayweather-McGregor Fight, As Told Through Emojis | | info | |
undefeated-boxers | Mayweather Is Defined By The Zero Next To His Name | | info | |
chess-transfers | American Chess Is Great Again | | info | |
bachelorette | Rachel’s Season Is Fitting Neatly Into ‘Bachelorette’ History | | info | |
ahca-polls | Why The GOP Is So Hell-Bent On Passing An Unpopular Health Care Bill | | info | |
antiquities-act | Trump Might Be The First President To Scrap A National Monument | | info | |
science-giving | When Scientists Donate To Politicians, It’s Usually To Democrats | | info | |
scrabble-games | How ‘Qi’ And ‘Za’ Changed Scrabble | | info | |
tenth-circuit | For A Trump Nominee, Neil Gorsuch’s Record Is Surprisingly Moderate On Immigration | | info | |
subreddit-algebra | Dissecting Trump’s Most Rabid Online Following | | info | |
hate-crimes | Higher Rates Of Hate Crimes Are Tied To Income Inequality | | info | |
obama-commutations | Obama Granted Clemency Unlike Any Other President In History | | info | |
presidential-campaign-trail | The Last 10 Weeks Of 2016 Campaign Stops In One Handy Gif | | info | |
murder_2016 | A Handful Of Cities Are Driving 2016’s Rise In Murders | | info | |
religion-survey | When Does Praying In Public Make Others Uncomfortable? | | info | |
nfl-favorite-team | The Rams Are Dead To Me, So I Answered 3,352 Questions To Find A New NFL Team | | info | |
hip-hop-candidate-lyrics | Hip-Hop Is Turning On Donald Trump | | info | |
births | Some People Are Too Superstitious To Have A Baby On Friday The 13th | | info | |
presidential-commencement-speeches | Sitting Presidents Give Way More Commencement Speeches Than They Used To | | info | |
trump-news | How Trump Hacked The Media | | info | |
repeated-phrases-gop | These Are The Phrases Each GOP Candidate Repeats Most | | info | |
poll-of-pollsters | Iowa Teaches Pollsters To Poll Until The End | | info | |
Most Pollsters Say Their Reputations Have Worsened | |
Most Pollsters We Surveyed Say Polling Did Well This Year | |
Even Pollsters Don’t Know All The Details Of How Their Polls Are Made | |
Pollsters Say They Follow Ethical Standards, But They Aren’t So Sure About Their Peers | |
Pollsters Predict Greater Polling Error In Midterm Elections | |
nutrition-studies | You Can’t Trust What You Read About Nutrition | | info | |
uber-tlc-foil-response | Is Uber Making NYC Rush-Hour Traffic Worse? | | info | |
Uber Is Taking Millions Of Manhattan Rides Away From Taxis | |
Public Transit Should Be Uber’s New Best Friend | |
Uber Is Serving New York’s Outer Boroughs More Than Taxis Are | |
tarantino | A Complete Catalog Of Every Time Someone Cursed Or Bled Out In A Quentin Tarantino Movie | | info | |
nba-elo | The Complete History Of The NBA | | info | |
thanksgiving-2015 | Here’s What Your Part Of America Eats On Thanksgiving | | info | |
terrorism | The Rise Of Terrorism Inspired By Religion In France | | info | |
study-drugs | College Students Aren’t The Only Ones Abusing Adderall | | info | |
fandango | Be Suspicious Of Online Movie Ratings, Especially Fandango’s | | info | |
biopics | ‘Straight Outta Compton’ Is The Rare Biopic Not About White Dudes | | info | |
daily-show-guests | Every Guest Jon Stewart Ever Had On ‘The Daily Show’ | | info | |
buster-posey-mvp | Buster Posey’s Pitch Framing Makes Him A Potential MVP | | info | |
us-weather-history | What 12 Months Of Record-Setting Temperatures Looks Like Across The U.S. | | info | |
nba-draft-2015 | Projecting The Top 50 Players In The 2015 NBA Draft Class | | info | |
unisex-names | The Most Common Unisex Names In America: Is Yours One Of Them? | | info | |
elo-blatter | Blatter’s Reign At FIFA Hasn’t Helped Soccer’s Poor | | info | |
tennis-time | Why Some Tennis Matches Take Forever | | info | |
police-killings | Where Police Have Killed Americans In 2015 | | info | |
womens-world-cup-predictions | How Our Women’s World Cup Model Works | | info | |
2015 Women's World Cup Predictions | |
san-andreas | The Rock Isn’t Alone: Lots Of People Are Worried About ‘The Big One’ | | info | |
fifa | How To Break FIFA | | info | |
pew-religions | Evangelical Protestants Are The Biggest Winners When People Change Faiths | | info | |
mad-men | ‘Mad Men’ Is Ending. What’s Next For The Cast? | | info | |
avengers | Joining The Avengers Is As Deadly As Jumping Off A Four-Story Building | | info | |
drug-use-by-age | How Baby Boomers Get High | | info | |
weather-check | Where People Go To Check The Weather | | info | |
march-madness-predictions-2015 | 2015 March Madness Predictions | | info | |
nba-winprobs | Every NBA Team’s Chance Of Winning In Every Minute Across Every Game | | info | |
potential-candidates | Who Will Run For President: Romney Is Out | | info | |
Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016? | |
nfl-ticket-prices | Who Goes To Meaningless NFL Games And Why? | | info | |
most-common-name | Dear Mona, What’s The Most Common Name In America? | | info | |
comic-characters | Comic Books Are Still Made By Men, For Men And About Men | | info | |
male-flight-attendants | Dear Mona, How Many Flight Attendants Are Men? | | info | |
marriage | Marriage Isn’t Dead — Yet | | info | |
forecast-methodology | How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works | | info | |
college-majors | The Economic Guide To Picking A College Major | | info | |
flying-etiquette-survey | 41 Percent Of Fliers Think You’re Rude If You Recline Your Seat | | info | |
nfl-suspensions | The NFL’s Uneven History Of Punishing Domestic Violence | | info | |
police-locals | Most Police Don’t Live In The Cities They Serve | | info | |
alcohol-consumption | Dear Mona Followup: Where Do People Drink The Most Beer, Wine And Spirits? | | info | |
nfl-wide-receivers | The Football Hall Of Fame Has A Receiver Problem | | info | |
sleeping-alone-data | Dear Mona, How Many Couples Sleep in Separate Beds? | | info | |
star-wars-survey | America’s Favorite ‘Star Wars’ Movies (And Least Favorite Characters) | | info | |
airline-safety | Should Travelers Avoid Flying Airlines That Have Had Crashes in the Past? | | info | |
food-world-cup | The FiveThirtyEight International Food Association’s 2014 World Cup | | info | |
comma-survey-data | Elitist, Superfluous, Or Popular? We Polled Americans on the Oxford Comma | | info | |
world-cup-predictions | 2014 World Cup Predictions | | info | |
nba-tattoos | What Ethan Swan Learned From Tracking Every Tattoo in the NBA | | info | |
infrastructure-jobs | Using ‘Infrastructure Jobs’ as a Measuring Stick For State-Level Spending | | info | |
steak-survey | How Americans Like Their Steak | | info | |
region-survey | We’ve Published Our Data on the South And Midwest | | info | |
Which States Are in the South? | |
Which States Are in the Midwest? | |
congress-age | Both Republicans And Democrats Have an Age Problem | | info | |
early-senate-polls | Early Senate Polls Have Plenty to Tell Us About November | | info | |
pulitzer | Do Pulitzers Help Newspapers Keep Readers? | | info | |
bob-ross | A Statistical Analysis of the Work of Bob Ross | | info | |
librarians | Where Are America’s Librarians? | | info | |
bechdel | The Dollar-And-Cents Case Against Hollywood’s Exclusion of Women | | info | |
historical-ncaa-forecasts | The NCAA Bracket: Checking Our Work | | info | |
march-madness-predictions | 2014 NCAA Tournament Predictions | | info | |