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POLLSTER UPDATE: Spitzer Jumps Into Comptroller Race Without 'One Stitch Of Polling'

POLLSTER UPDATE: Spitzer Jumps Into Comptroller Race Without 'One Stitch Of Polling'

Mark Blumenthal  07. 8.2013
New York City has another scandal comeback story. Political science says second acts are possible, but past polling shows Spitzer has bigger...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Independence Day Edition

POLLSTER UPDATE: Independence Day Edition

Mark Blumenthal  07. 3.2013
Americans react favorably to the Supreme Court on one decision, but not another. A key survey reminds us that the Obamacare employer mandate...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Filibuster Debate Raises Wendy Davis's Profile

POLLSTER UPDATE: Filibuster Debate Raises Wendy Davis's Profile

Mark Blumenthal  07. 2.2013
A plurality approves of Wendy Davis's filibuster, but she's still running far behind Rick Perry. Gallup shares a regression analysis on...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Mitch McConnell Gets A 2014 Challenger

POLLSTER UPDATE: Mitch McConnell Gets A 2014 Challenger

Mark Blumenthal  07. 1.2013
Public polling has been sparse in Kentucky, where Mitch McConnell gained a Democratic challenger. A Republican pollster says microtargeting...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Little Consensus, Less Interest In NYC's Mayoral Primary

POLLSTER UPDATE: Little Consensus, Less Interest In NYC's Mayoral Primary

06.28.2013
Polling on the New York City Mayor's race offers more reasons to expect the unexpected. Quants debate the finer points of public opinion...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Abortion Polling Yields Conflicting Views

POLLSTER UPDATE: Abortion Polling Yields Conflicting Views

Mark Blumenthal  06.27.2013
Surveys on abortion yield conflicting results, as much now as 24 years ago. And Lee Miringoff offers several good reasons for a conflicting...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Supreme Court Ruling Follows Public Shift On Gay Marriage

POLLSTER UPDATE: Supreme Court Ruling Follows Public Shift On Gay Marriage

Mark Blumenthal  06.26.2013
Anthony Weiner moves into the lead in New York City's mayoral primary. Or maybe he doesn't. The Supreme Court moves the law into closer...
POLLSTER UPDATE: The Data Behind The Supreme Court's Voting Rights Act Decision

POLLSTER UPDATE: The Data Behind The Supreme Court's Voting Rights Act Decision

Mark Blumenthal  06.25.2013
The Supreme Court hangs its voting right act ruling on Census survey results. John Kasich is in better shape in Ohio. And we've got your...
POLLSTER UPDATE: In Massachusetts Senate Race, Expect The Expected

POLLSTER UPDATE: In Massachusetts Senate Race, Expect The Expected

Mark Blumenthal  06.24.2013
Two more polls show Ed Markey leading by a lot in Massachusetts. Most Americans agree with arguments on both sides of the immigration reform...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Markey's Leading Gomez, But By How Much?

POLLSTER UPDATE: Markey's Leading Gomez, But By How Much?

Mark Blumenthal  06.21.2013
In Massachusetts, the biggest polling argument is whether Markey's margin will be large or small. Some poll results may not "tell the whole...
POLLSTER UPDATE: The Obama Big Data Team's New Frontier

POLLSTER UPDATE: The Obama Big Data Team's New Frontier

Mark Blumenthal  06.20.2013
The marketplace of Obama data guru start-up companies is getting crowded. Harper Polling adds a new twist to the usual dueling partisan...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Pew Research Poll Finds Obama's Approval 'Fairly Steady'

POLLSTER UPDATE: Pew Research Poll Finds Obama's Approval 'Fairly Steady'

Mark Blumenthal  06.19.2013
A new Pew Research survey makes the steep drop in Obama approval reported CNN's poll look like even more of an outlier. The President gets...
POLLSTER UPDATE: Rick Scott's Lukewarm Improvement

POLLSTER UPDATE: Rick Scott's Lukewarm Improvement

Mark Blumenthal  06.18.2013
Rick Scott gets some good news in Florida, if good news means trailing by 10 points and a "re-elect" of just 35 percent. The growth of...
Polling About Privacy: Lessons From the Past

Polling About Privacy: Lessons From the Past

06.18.2013
An exhaustive 2008 academic study of polling in the years after 9/11 can help make sense of what might be seen as confused public opinion...