How Tax Reform Will Lift the Economy

We believe the Republican bills could boost GDP 3% to 4% long term by reducing the cost of capital.

Photo: Getty Images/iStockphoto

Editor’s note: The following is a Nov. 25 letter to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin:

Dear Mr. Secretary:

The present debate over tax reforms proposed by President Trump’s administration and embodied in bills that have passed the House of Representatives and the Senate Finance Committee has raised the basic question of whether the bills are “pro-growth”: Would the proposals raise current and future economic activity and generate federal tax revenue that would reduce the “static cost” of the reforms? This letter explains why we believe that the answer to these questions is “yes.”

Economists generally think of fundamental tax reform as a set of tax changes that reduces tax distortions on productive activities (for example, business investment and work) and broadens the tax base to reduce tax differences among similarly situated businesses and individuals. Fundamental tax reform should also advance the objectives of fairness and simplification.

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