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THE HOOVER INSTITUTION • STANFORD UNIVERSITY
RESEARCH AND OPINION
ON PUBLIC POLICY
2014 • NO. 4 • FALL
The Hoover Digest offers informative writing on politics, economics, and
history by the scholars and researchers of the Hoover Institution, the public
policy research center at Stanford University.
The opinions expressed in the Hoover Digest are those of the authors and
do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Hoover Institution, Stanford
University, or their supporters.
The Hoover Digest (ISSN 1088-5161) is published quarterly by the Hoover
Institution on War, Revolution and Peace, Stanford University, Stanford
CA 94305-6010. Periodicals Postage Paid at Palo Alto CA and additional
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Digest, Hoover Press, Stanford University, Stanford CA 94305-6010.
©2014 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University
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On the Cover
In 1950, American efforts to rebuild Europe
were outgrowing their original ambitions:
feed the hungry, revive trade and currencies in
allied and former enemy nations alike, resur-
rect industry, and restore stability. Now Soviet
militancy was rising, threatening Europe’s
fragile security and posing an ideological
challenge. This poster was part of a Marshall
Plan contest meant to persuade Europeans
to choose democracy and open markets and
reject the Soviet appeal. It was part of a larger
war of ideas. See story, page 202.
Hoover Digest
Research and Opinion on Public Policy
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Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
Contents
HOOVER DIGEST · 2014 · NO. 4 · FALL
IRAQ
9 Axis of Folly
The president of the United States proved rash, the former prime
minister of Iraq, arrogant. Why Iraq is teetering. By .
13 Best Frenemies?
As Iraq wobbles, Iran might almost look like a friend. It isn’t. By
.
16 The Price of Our “Responsible” Exit
The Iraq war never ended. We just quit fighting it. By . .
21 An Army of Revisionists
How quickly we forget our reasons for toppling Saddam—and our
politicians forget how they endorsed it. By .
THE ECONOMY
26 Why the Fed Must Return to Rules
What does the economy need from the Fed? Less intervention, more
stability. By . .
31 The Foundation Crumbles
Rising taxes and the unrestrained growth in entitlements are eating
away at the very foundation of our economy: property rights. By
. .
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
INEQUALITY
35 Rickety Piketty
Economist Thomas Piketty wants to confiscate wealth, but he doesn’t
grasp where wealth actually comes from. By . .
42 The United States of Envy
What closes income gaps? Education and innovation—not
confiscatory taxes such as those Thomas Piketty proposes. By
. .
CALIFORNIA
47 Economics in a Time of Drought
Let the water flow where the market, not the government, says it
should go. By .
51 An End to Pension Patches
Meaningful ways to mend the Golden State’s pension-funding gap.
By .
THE ENVIRONMENT
56 Railroading the Environment
Block the construction of pipelines and more oil gets shipped by
train. That will make spills and accidents more likely, not less. By
. .
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
HEALTH CARE
61 Side Effects May Include Collusion
Caution: ObamaCare might encourage hospitals and doctors to fix
prices. By . .
64 Waiting for Dr. Godot
Long treatment delays at VA hospitals shouldn’t shock us. In coun-
tries with government health care monopolies, waiting months—
even years—represents business as usual. By . .
72 Bitter Pills
Higher costs, fewer choices—the Affordable Care Act is becoming
harder and harder to swallow. By . .
POLITICS
78 Affirmative-Action Foibles
The Democratic Party likes racial preferences in college admissions,
but Asian-Americans don’t. Might we see a parting of the ways? By
. .
81 They Might Be Giants
Then again, they might not. If politics were baseball, President
Obama’s team would have whiffed. By .
INTELLIGENCE
86 The Secret Sharers
If leaks of secret information are so bad, why not plug them? Be-
cause both the public and the government consider them useful. By
.
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
91 In Snowden We Trust? Never
Self-appointed crusaders, no matter how clever or articulate, must
never get to decide which secrets our government can keep. By
.
THE MIDDLE EAST
98 Imaginary Egypt
Egyptians told themselves a thrilling story about their revolution.
Then the fable ended where it had begun: with a pharaoh in power.
By .
107 Will Iran and Israel Meet in the Middle?
In Iran, hints of a secular thaw. In Israel, the increasing prominence
of religious parties. Two nations, antagonistic—and unsettled. By
and - .
112 Clooney of Arabia
Movie star George Clooney found a love match among the Druze, a
sect whose members have seen their own share of drama. By .
UKRAINE
122 “Ukraine Is Fighting Our Battle”
Five reasons the United States should send military aid to Ukraine.
By . .
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
CHINA
128 A Modern Mandarin
Opening itself to free markets, China has lifted several hundred mil-
lion people out of poverty. That was the easy part. An interview with
Hoover fellow . By .
INTERVIEWS
133 Reform Conservatism and the Junior Senator from Utah
“In the absence of a unifying conservative reform agenda,” says Mike
Lee of Utah, “there will be a lot of bickering. We need to fill the
void.” An interview with .
143 Game of Loans
Banking crises are a product of people and strategy, not mysterious forces,
say Hoover fellows . and . .
By .
VALUES
152 The Fairness Fallacy
Wait for perfect fairness in life and you’ll wait forever. But that
doesn’t mean anybody is holding you back. By .
155 Moral Debts
The way we deal with our debts involves more than dollars and cents.
It reveals our very character as a people. By .
158 Who Will Speak?
Today, Salman Rushdie lives in freedom. But the spirit of the fatwa—
and the censor—has only grown stronger. By .
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
IN MEMORIAM: FOUAD AJAMI
163 “It Would Be My Fate to Return . . . ”
Rooted in the old world, the late Hoover fellow flour-
ished in the new. A reflection from his final book, In This Arab Time.
172 Fouad’s Gift
Farewell to a friend, a guide, and a storyteller of the Arab world’s
disorder. By .
HISTORY AND CULTURE
178 Who’s Number One? Does It Matter?
Country rankings are being twisted to tell all kinds of sto-
ries—but rarely the story of how America meets its challenges.
By .
HOOVER ARCHIVES
184 One Summit, Different Dreams
The Cairo Summit offered China a chance to present itself as an
equal on the world stage. For Chiang Kai-shek it would lead to bitter
disappointment. By - .
202 On the Cover
Hoover Digest ▫ 2014 · No. 4
9
IRAQ
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